Core Viewpoint - The real estate construction management industry has seen significant growth in 2025, driven by the strong expansion intentions of leading companies, with a notable shift from traditional development to service-oriented models [3][4]. Group 1: Industry Growth and Trends - In 2025, the top 20 construction management companies added approximately 220 million square meters of new signed construction area, representing a year-on-year increase of 16%, which is 6 percentage points higher than in 2024 [3]. - The number of winning bids in the third quarter of 2025 reached 172, with year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter increases of 37% and 17%, respectively [4]. - Ten companies achieved over 10 million square meters of new construction management scale in 2025, with the top five companies accounting for 45% of the new construction area [5]. Group 2: Company Performance - Leading companies such as Jindi Management, Longfor Longzhizao, and New City Construction Management saw their new construction management scale increase by over 50% in 2025, with new signed areas of 15.31 million, 13.87 million, and 10.61 million square meters, respectively [7]. - The sales scale for Longfor Longzhizao and Jindi Management reached 20.6 billion and 19.3 billion yuan, ranking them third and fourth in sales scale [7]. Group 3: Market Dynamics and Opportunities - The industry is undergoing a structural adjustment from scale expansion to value creation, with companies needing to enhance product quality, innovate services, and manage risks to achieve stable development during the industry reshuffle [5]. - The demand for professional construction management services has increased due to government initiatives promoting affordable housing and urban renewal, creating opportunities for companies to leverage their expertise [8]. - There is a growing trend of collaboration between construction management firms and local governments or state-owned enterprises, providing new avenues for project expansion [9].

Core Viewpoint - Greentown Management Holdings (09979) has seen its stock price increase by over 4%, currently trading at HKD 2.97, with a trading volume of HKD 27.52 million [1] Group 1: Company Performance - As of December 31, 2025, the total contracted construction area for new projects is 35.35 million square meters, a decrease of approximately 3.1% compared to the same period last year [1] - The estimated construction fee for new projects is RMB 9.35 billion, reflecting a growth of about 0.4% year-on-year [1] Group 2: Industry Position - Greentown Management Holdings is recognized as a pioneer and leader in the domestic light-asset real estate development model, with a core business model that includes three main construction management sectors and three supporting services [1] - The company has established a significant scale advantage and brand effect through its continuous focus on the construction management sector, maintaining a leading position in new construction area and sales for many years, with ample orders on hand and improving project initiation efficiency [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the competitive landscape of the real estate construction management sector in China, with Green City Management leading in new contract signings and sales figures for 2025 [1][2] Group 2 - In terms of new signed area, Green City Management ranks first with 35.35 million square meters, followed by CIFI Construction Management and Run Di Management with 16.29 million and 15.95 million square meters respectively [1] - For government construction projects, Run Di Management leads with 13.49 million square meters, while CIFI Construction Management and Blue City Group follow with 7.32 million and 5.63 million square meters respectively [1] - The focus of construction management companies in government projects is primarily on affordable housing, schools, and sports venues, with some exploring urban renewal opportunities [1] - In terms of sales scale, Green City Management tops the list with a contract sales amount of 98.5 billion yuan, while Blue Green Double City and Longfor Longzhizao follow with 23.6 billion and 20.62 billion yuan respectively [1] - The increasing number of companies entering the construction management sector is leading to a rise in sales scale as projects move into the sales phase [1] Group 3 - Delivery capability has become a key focus in the industry, with companies emphasizing high-quality delivery through various strategies [2] - Green City Management leads in delivery capacity with 79,726 units delivered, while other companies like Jianfa Update Construction, Zhongyuan Jianye, and Longfor Longzhizao have all delivered over 10,000 units [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights that the top 20 construction management companies in 2025 have signed new contracts totaling 21,926 million square meters, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 16%, with a growth rate 6 percentage points higher than in 2024, but still lower than in 2023 [1][2] - Among the top 20 companies, 10 have signed new contracts exceeding 10 million square meters, an increase of 5 companies compared to the same period last year, with the leading companies being Greentown Management, Xuhui Construction Management, and others [1][2] Group 2 - The concentration of signed area among the top ten companies has reached 78%, an increase of 7 percentage points compared to 2024, indicating a trend where leading companies are gaining more market share [4] - The top five companies account for 45% of the new signed area, a slight decrease of 2 percentage points from 2024, while the 5-10 ranked companies have increased their share to 33%, up 10 percentage points [4] Group 3 - There is a significant disparity in new project signing scales among companies, with the leading companies experiencing intense competition, while lower-tier companies are undergoing substantial restructuring [7] - Greentown Management leads with a signing scale of 3,535 million square meters, which is double that of the second-ranked company, indicating a highly competitive environment among the top firms [7][10]

Core Viewpoint - Zhongyuan Jianye (09982) has resumed trading after a suspension of over 20 months, experiencing a significant price increase of nearly 64% at one point, and currently trading up 38.18% at HKD 0.152 with a transaction volume of HKD 24.9265 million [1] Group 1 - On December 19, Zhongyuan Jianye announced that it has fulfilled the resumption guidelines, which include publishing all outstanding financial results and resolving any audit revisions [1] - The company has repaid the principal amount of loans totaling RMB 750 million provided to multiple real estate companies, with outstanding interest receivables of RMB 53 million under review by legal advisors for recovery [1]

香 港 交易 及 結 算 所 有限 公 司 及 香港 聯 合 交 易 所有 限 公 司 對 本公 告 的 內 容概 不 負 責， 對 其 準 確 性或 完 整 性 亦不 作 任 何 聲 明， 並 明 確 表 示概 不 對 因 本公 告 全 部或 任 何 部 分 內容 而 產 生 或因 倚 賴 該 等 內容 而 引 致 的 任何 損 失 承 擔任 何責任。 CENTRAL CHINA MANAGEMENT COMPANY LIMITED 中 原 建 業 有 限 公 司 （ 於開曼群島註冊成立的有限公司） （股份代號：9982） (1)完成內部監控審查； (2)履行復牌指引； 及 (3)恢復買賣 本公告乃由中原建業有限公司（「本公司」，連同其附屬公司統稱「本集團」） 根 據 香 港 聯 合 交 易 所 有 限 公 司（「 聯 交 所 」）證 券 上 市 規 則（「 上 市 規 則 」）第 13.09 (2) (a)條以及香港法例第571章證券及期貨條例第XIVA部項下之內幕消 息條文（ 定義見上市規則 ）作出。 茲提述(i)本公司日期為2024年3月26日、2024年3月28日、2024年4月26日、 2024年 ...

Core Insights - The leading construction companies have shown a strong willingness to expand, with the top 20 companies signing new contracts for a total area of 15,771 million square meters, representing a year-on-year increase of 31% [1] - The number of awarded construction projects has steadily increased, particularly in the third quarter, which saw a record high in project awards [2][3] Group 1: Project Awards - In the first three quarters of 2025, the number of awarded construction projects reached approximately 432, marking an 18% year-on-year growth, although the growth rate has decreased by 10 percentage points compared to the same period in 2024 [3] - The third quarter alone saw 172 awarded projects, with both year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter increases of 37% and 17%, respectively [3] - Leading companies like Greentown Management have significantly outperformed others in terms of awarded projects, with nearly 20 projects in the third quarter [3] Group 2: Client Composition - Government and state-owned enterprises remain the primary clients for construction projects, including urban investment land and urban renewal projects [7] - There was a slight decrease in the proportion of projects commissioned by government and state-owned enterprises in the third quarter, dropping to 70%, a decline of nearly 20 percentage points compared to the average for the first eight months [7] Group 3: Regional Distribution - The distribution of awarded projects in the third quarter remained consistent with the first half of the year, with third and fourth-tier cities accounting for about 50% of the projects, while the Yangtze River Delta's share has been declining [9] - In the first three quarters of 2025, the awarded project distribution was 14% in first-tier cities, 35% in second-tier cities, and 51% in third and fourth-tier cities, indicating a trend where lower-tier cities dominate [9]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" recommendation for Greentown Management Holdings (9979.HK) with a current stock price of HKD 3.12 [1]. Core Views - The competitive landscape in the construction management industry is stabilizing, with a return to rational growth, presenting incremental opportunities. Despite increased competition and a decline in new contract signings for 2024, the market share of leading firms continues to expand, and the focus is shifting towards risk management and profitability [6][10]. - The company is experiencing positive operational signals, with a high dividend yield providing valuation support. The company has maintained a high payout ratio and is expected to implement interim dividends for the first time in 2025, with a dividend yield significantly higher than mainstream property management companies [20][51]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The construction management industry is witnessing a return to rational competition, with the market stabilizing as new entrants have diminished. The focus is now on the leading firms, which are prioritizing risk control and profitability [6][10]. - Urban renewal and supportive policies for quality housing are expected to create structural growth opportunities within the industry, despite a current decline in single-unit construction fees [10][18]. Operational Performance - Greentown Management Holdings has a robust order book, with a total construction area of 12.65 million square meters as of the first half of 2025. The company has seen a year-on-year increase in new contract values and construction areas [20][23]. - The company’s cash flow is improving, with a significant increase in operating cash flow and a high cash reserve, allowing for a strong dividend policy [51][55]. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for 2025 show a decline to HKD 29.94 billion, with a subsequent recovery expected in 2026 and 2027. The gross margin is anticipated to remain around 40% in 2025, with a potential increase in the following years [5][58]. - The earnings per share (EPS) forecast for 2025 has been slightly reduced to HKD 0.28, but the company is expected to recover to HKD 0.31 in 2026 and HKD 0.34 in 2027, reflecting its competitive advantages in the construction management sector [60].

Core Insights - The penetration rate of entrusted construction projects in commodity housing continues to rise, reaching 7.23% in the first three quarters of 2025, an increase of 0.8 percentage points compared to 2024 [1] - The development trends vary across different city tiers, with only second-tier cities showing an upward trend in penetration rates, while first-tier and third- and fourth-tier cities have experienced declines [1] - Leading entrusted construction companies are showing strong expansion intentions, indicating a likely continued increase in market penetration rates in the future [1] Penetration Rate Trends - The penetration rate for entrusted construction projects was 5% in Q1 2025, down 0.44 percentage points year-on-year; it surged to 8.7% in Q2, up 2.37 percentage points year-on-year, marking a new quarterly high; and in Q3, it was 7.12%, up 1.24 percentage points year-on-year [1] - If the upward trend continues into Q4, the annual penetration rate is expected to reach a new high [1] Project Distribution - In 2025, 84% of new entrusted construction projects are located in second-tier cities, 15% in third- and fourth-tier cities, and only 1% in first-tier cities; the Yangtze River Delta region leads with a 40% share [2] - Guangzhou has the highest number of entrusted construction projects among first-tier cities, with 9 projects, followed by Shanghai with 5, and Shenzhen and Beijing with 3 and 2, respectively [5] Second-Tier City Performance - The penetration rate in second-tier cities reached 9.89% in the first three quarters of 2025, an increase of 2.13 percentage points compared to 2024, making it the only tier to see significant growth [6] - Cities like Suzhou and Tianjin have penetration rates exceeding 30%, with Suzhou at 38.5% [8] Third- and Fourth-Tier City Trends - The penetration rate in third- and fourth-tier cities decreased to 6.15% in the first three quarters of 2025, down 1.67 percentage points from 2024, largely influenced by individual city performance [11] - Despite the current decline, there are long-term opportunities in these cities, particularly in areas like the Pearl River Delta [15] Competitive Landscape - The competition in second-tier cities is intensifying, making it crucial for companies to establish a presence in promising third- and fourth-tier cities or explore niche markets in first- and second-tier cities [17]

Group 1: New Project Signings - In September 2025, several construction management companies secured new project contracts, including Green City Management winning multiple residential projects in Hangzhou and Wenzhou [1] - Runze Management won a significant affordable housing project in Dongguan, with a total construction area of approximately 84,500 square meters [1] - Jin Di Group's Zhejiang region signed contracts for various residential projects, including a low-density residential area in Hangzhou with a construction area of about 24,800 square meters [1] Group 2: Major Events - He Sheng Chuang Zhan reported a total contract sales area of approximately 47,591 square meters and a sales amount of about RMB 4.236 billion for the first eight months of 2025 [2] Group 3: Market Analysis - In September, residential properties accounted for 85% of the bidding information in the public market, with Zhejiang province being the leading area for project announcements, representing 54% of the total [6][8] - 95% of the projects were won by real estate development companies, with residential properties making up 70% of the winning bids [8] Group 4: Land Acquisition Trends - There has been an increase in land acquisition willingness among private real estate companies, with their share of land acquisition amounting to 13.4% among the top 100 companies from January to September 2025, a rise of 5.6 percentage points compared to 2024 [11] - Some small and medium-sized private companies are becoming important clients for construction management firms, providing new growth opportunities [11]