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002910再次开盘涨停,行业触底复苏也有新苗头
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-10-10 04:32
Core Viewpoint - The dairy industry shows signs of recovery following the recent holiday season, with milk prices beginning to rise, although the sustainability of this trend remains uncertain [1][3]. Group 1: Market Performance - Dairy stocks, particularly Zhuangyuan Pasture (002910.SZ), have experienced significant gains, with Zhuangyuan Pasture hitting the daily limit for the second consecutive day, driven by a broader consumer market rally [1]. - Other dairy companies also saw increases, with Knight Dairy (920786.BJ) up 4.44% and New Dairy up 5.85%, while several stocks rose over 2% [1]. Group 2: Financial Performance - Zhuangyuan Pasture reported a revenue of 420 million yuan in the first half of 2023, a year-on-year decrease of 1.3%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of -30 million yuan, which is a 68.5% increase compared to the previous year [3]. - Major domestic dairy companies have shown signs of bottoming out after two years of decline, with expectations for recovery in the second half of the year [3]. Group 3: Milk Price Trends - The average purchase price of fresh milk in major production areas rose from 3.02 yuan/kg in August to 3.04 yuan/kg in late September, indicating a stabilization in prices [3]. - Prices for spot milk have seen significant increases, with prices in Hebei rising from 2.5 yuan/kg to 4.2 yuan/kg, and in Ningxia from 2.1 yuan/kg to between 3.5 and 3.7 yuan/kg [3]. Group 4: Market Dynamics - Analysts expect that the demand for dairy products will peak during the holiday season, potentially leading to a more balanced supply-demand situation [4]. - However, post-holiday, spot milk prices have begun to decline, with prices in Hebei dropping to 2.8 yuan/kg, indicating ongoing market pressures [4]. - The dairy market is experiencing fragmentation in consumption patterns, which may affect the sustainability of the recovery [4].