大豆海外市场多元化
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美国豆农松口气
Bei Jing Wan Bao· 2025-11-02 02:07
Core Viewpoint - The recent consensus between China and the U.S. to expand agricultural trade has brought relief to American soybean farmers, who are hopeful for renewed orders from China following a period of halted imports due to tariffs [1] Group 1: Agricultural Trade Developments - On October 30, China and the U.S. reached an agreement to expand agricultural trade during a meeting between the two countries' leaders, which has been positively received by American farmers [1] - The U.S. soybean exports to China have been zero this sales year, which is unusual, as typically 400 to 500 million bushels would be contracted by this time [1] - Last year, the total value of U.S. soybean exports was approximately $24.5 billion, with over $12.5 billion coming from Chinese orders [1] Group 2: Impact on Farmers - American farmers have faced significant losses due to the lack of exports to China, with some estimating a potential 50% loss in sales if the Chinese market is lost [1] - Farmers are encouraged by the recent developments, viewing them as a sign of a return to more pragmatic trade policies [1] - The Iowa Soybean Association has expressed optimism that the export season is gradually returning to normal, despite the challenges faced this year [1] Group 3: Future Considerations - The specifics of the measures for expanding agricultural trade have not yet been disclosed by China [1] - It remains uncertain whether China will resume large-scale imports of other U.S. agricultural products such as cotton, sorghum, and nuts [1] - The recent consensus is described as a "one-year truce," and it is unclear if procurement commitments will require renegotiation [1]