大金融板块行情

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金融权重股强势做多 指数仍可看高一线?
第一财经· 2025-06-12 02:34
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current market dynamics, highlighting the performance of major stock indices and the implications of various sectors, particularly focusing on the potential for investment opportunities in the A-share market and the impact of external factors such as U.S. monetary policy [4][10]. Market Overview - On June 12, the three major stock indices opened lower, with the Shanghai Composite Index at 3,397.97 points, down 0.13%, the Shenzhen Component at 10,208.3 points, down 0.37%, and the ChiNext Index at 2,057.2 points, down 0.23% [4]. - Sectors such as departure tax refund, digital currency, millet economy, and biological breeding saw significant declines, while precious metals, chemicals, and photolithography factory themes showed strength [4]. Expert Opinions - Chen Zhaoling from Guodu Securities suggests that if the market continues to rise, excess funds may flow into the A-share market, potentially opening up further upward space. A breakout in indices could lead to specific sectors becoming preferred investment targets [5]. - Hu Tao from Shanghai Securities points out that both hardware (AI glasses) and software (computing power applications) in the AI sector face commercialization challenges, which are critical areas to monitor [5]. - Zhang Xinmao from Guotai Junan emphasizes the importance of the sustainability of the financial sector, particularly the brokerage segment, and its ability to drive traditional cyclical sectors and consumer stocks. This interlinkage will be crucial for assessing whether indices can break through current resistance levels [5]. Sector Insights - CITIC Securities reports that since April, China's partial export controls on rare earths have led to a more than 50% month-on-month decline in rare earth permanent magnet exports, marking a historical low in the past five years. The expectation of gradual easing of export controls may boost prices and narrow the domestic-international price gap [8][9]. - CICC anticipates that the upcoming June Federal Reserve meeting may lean towards a hawkish stance, with potential adjustments to inflation forecasts. This could lead to disappointment among investors hoping for interest rate cuts, as the labor market remains stable [10].