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阿波罗:AI与工业复兴成强劲东风,美国经济增长有望重新加速
智通财经网· 2025-10-21 02:48
Core Viewpoint - Apollo Global Management's Chief Economist Torsten Slok indicates that the U.S. economy may be entering a stronger phase than many anticipated, with key credit indicators showing significant improvement, suggesting underlying economic resilience [1] Group 1: Economic Indicators - Default rates for high-yield bonds and leveraged loans have peaked, along with delinquency rates for credit cards and auto loans [1] - The improvement in these indicators is attributed to three main factors: the diminishing uncertainty from trade wars, the strong tailwinds from the AI boom, and a comprehensive recovery in U.S. industrial activity [1] Group 2: Investment and Consumer Confidence - The ongoing expansion of data centers and energy infrastructure related to AI is providing tangible support for business investment and consumer confidence [1] - Rising stock markets are enhancing household consumption capacity [1] Group 3: Industrial Revival - New capital investments in manufacturing, defense, biotechnology, and automation indicate that what is termed an "industrial revival" is in its early stages [1] - Despite ongoing trade tensions slightly dragging on global growth, these adverse factors are increasingly being offset by technology-driven and industrial momentum, raising the likelihood of a re-acceleration in U.S. economic growth in the coming months [1]