左侧底部布局
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华泰证券:预计2026年必选消费温和复苏 把握左侧底部布局机会
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-11-27 23:54
Core Viewpoint - The report from Huatai Securities indicates that with the expectation of structural stabilization in housing prices by 2026, the recovery of household balance sheets is likely to lead to a marginal improvement in consumer inclination [1] Group 1: Consumer Behavior - Potential supply and demand policy stimuli are expected to boost residents' willingness to consume [1] - The domestic structural upgrade and overseas expansion opportunities for essential consumer companies remain broad [1] Group 2: Investment Opportunities - Leading companies have been increasing their dividend payout ratios, providing a triple advantage of dividend yield support in a low-interest environment, high long-term growth potential, and resilient undervaluation [1] - The current allocation ratio and valuation percentiles in the essential consumer sector are at historical lows, indicating a high probability of being in a favorable left-side bottom range for investment [1] - It is recommended to actively seize opportunities for sector allocation [1]
华泰证券:预计2026年必选消费温和复苏,把握左侧底部布局机会
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-11-27 23:50
Core Viewpoint - The report from Huatai Securities indicates that the expectation of structural stabilization in housing prices by 2026 is likely to lead to a marginal improvement in consumer sentiment due to the recovery of household balance sheets [1] Group 1: Consumer Sentiment and Policy Impact - The anticipated recovery of household balance sheets is expected to enhance consumer willingness to spend [1] - Potential supply and demand policy stimuli may further boost consumer consumption intentions [1] Group 2: Essential Consumer Sector Outlook - The essential consumer sector is projected to experience structural upgrades domestically and has significant opportunities for expansion overseas [1] - Leading companies in this sector have been increasing their dividend payout ratios, which provides a solid foundation for dividend yield, long-term growth potential, and valuation resilience in a low-interest-rate environment [1] Group 3: Investment Strategy - The current allocation ratio and valuation percentiles for the essential consumer industry are at historical lows, indicating a high probability of being in a favorable left-side bottom range for investment [1] - It is recommended to actively seize opportunities for sector allocation [1]