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幼儿园关停背后,他们如何求生?
虎嗅APP· 2025-06-21 14:29
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the significant decline in the number of kindergartens in China, driven by a decreasing birth rate, leading to a "shutdown wave" in the kindergarten sector. This has prompted educators to explore various survival strategies, including transitioning to other industries such as live streaming and elder care [3][5][19]. Summary by Sections Kindergarten Shutdown and Industry Changes - In 2024, the number of kindergartens in China decreased by 21,100 compared to 2023, marking the most significant decline in recent years [3][19]. - The decline in kindergarten numbers is attributed to a shrinking birth rate, resulting in fewer children to enroll, particularly affecting private kindergartens [3][19]. - Educators are adapting by diversifying into areas like live streaming, e-commerce, and elder care services [3][5][12]. Transition to Elder Care - Some kindergartens are transforming into community elder care centers or inclusive facilities that cater to both children and the elderly [4][16]. - The aging population in China, with 297 million people aged 60 and above, presents a growing demand for elder care services [14][15]. - Initiatives like "elder-child co-care" are being explored, although concerns exist regarding the adequacy of services for both demographics [17][28]. Financial Struggles and Debt - Many educators, like Jing Yazhen, have faced severe financial difficulties, accumulating debts exceeding 20 million yuan due to the operational challenges of kindergartens [11][12]. - The shift to alternative income sources, such as live streaming sales, reflects a broader trend among educators seeking to sustain their livelihoods [12][25]. Statistical Insights - The total number of kindergartens in China is projected to be 253,300 in 2024, down from 274,400 in 2023, with a corresponding drop in enrolled children by approximately 5.09 million [19][24]. - The number of private kindergartens has also seen a significant decline, from 168,000 in 2020 to 135,500 in 2024 [20]. Future Outlook - Experts predict that the kindergarten sector will continue to undergo deep adjustments over the next three years, with a potential increase in market concentration favoring institutions that offer differentiated services [5][28]. - The article emphasizes the need for a strategic approach to address the challenges in early childhood education, advocating for smaller class sizes and improved educational standards [29][30].