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幼儿园关停背后,他们如何求生?
虎嗅APP· 2025-06-21 14:29
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the significant decline in the number of kindergartens in China, driven by a decreasing birth rate, leading to a "shutdown wave" in the kindergarten sector. This has prompted educators to explore various survival strategies, including transitioning to other industries such as live streaming and elder care [3][5][19]. Summary by Sections Kindergarten Shutdown and Industry Changes - In 2024, the number of kindergartens in China decreased by 21,100 compared to 2023, marking the most significant decline in recent years [3][19]. - The decline in kindergarten numbers is attributed to a shrinking birth rate, resulting in fewer children to enroll, particularly affecting private kindergartens [3][19]. - Educators are adapting by diversifying into areas like live streaming, e-commerce, and elder care services [3][5][12]. Transition to Elder Care - Some kindergartens are transforming into community elder care centers or inclusive facilities that cater to both children and the elderly [4][16]. - The aging population in China, with 297 million people aged 60 and above, presents a growing demand for elder care services [14][15]. - Initiatives like "elder-child co-care" are being explored, although concerns exist regarding the adequacy of services for both demographics [17][28]. Financial Struggles and Debt - Many educators, like Jing Yazhen, have faced severe financial difficulties, accumulating debts exceeding 20 million yuan due to the operational challenges of kindergartens [11][12]. - The shift to alternative income sources, such as live streaming sales, reflects a broader trend among educators seeking to sustain their livelihoods [12][25]. Statistical Insights - The total number of kindergartens in China is projected to be 253,300 in 2024, down from 274,400 in 2023, with a corresponding drop in enrolled children by approximately 5.09 million [19][24]. - The number of private kindergartens has also seen a significant decline, from 168,000 in 2020 to 135,500 in 2024 [20]. Future Outlook - Experts predict that the kindergarten sector will continue to undergo deep adjustments over the next three years, with a potential increase in market concentration favoring institutions that offer differentiated services [5][28]. - The article emphasizes the need for a strategic approach to address the challenges in early childhood education, advocating for smaller class sizes and improved educational standards [29][30].
我国幼儿园数量连续三年减少,多地试水“老幼共托”模式
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-06-12 11:58
Core Viewpoint - The decline in birth rates is significantly impacting the number of kindergartens in China, leading to a reduction in both the quantity of kindergartens and the enrollment of children in early education [1][2][3] Group 1: Kindergarten Statistics - As of 2024, there are 253,300 kindergartens in China, with 221,000 being inclusive kindergartens, accounting for 87.26% of the total [1] - The number of children enrolled in preschool education is 35.84 million, with 32.83 million in inclusive kindergartens, representing 91.61% of total enrollment [1] - The number of kindergartens has decreased for three consecutive years, with a reduction of 21,100 from 2023 to 2024, and a total decline of 148,080 from 2022 to 2023 [1][2] Group 2: Future Projections - The decline in kindergarten numbers is expected to affect primary, middle, and high school enrollments, with predictions indicating a decrease in demand for primary and middle schools by 51,400 and 3,800 respectively by 2035 compared to 2020 [2] - Although birth rates have been declining, the rate of decline is slowing, with an expected increase of 520,000 births in 2024 compared to 2023, which may stabilize the number of kindergartens in the future [2] Group 3: Innovative Models - Many kindergartens are exploring new models such as integrating childcare and elderly care, with some transforming into community nursing homes due to declining enrollment [3][4] - The trend of combining childcare and elderly care is gaining traction in various cities, with a significant increase in the elderly population projected to exceed 310 million by the end of 2024 [4] Group 4: Policy Adjustments - Local governments are optimizing educational resource allocation, with initiatives to build new public kindergartens in urban areas while halting new establishments in rural regions [5] - Experts suggest a need for proactive planning and top-level design to address the changes in birth rates and ensure sustainable development of educational institutions [5]
托起“一老一小”稳稳的幸福(议政)
Ren Min Ri Bao· 2025-06-11 22:11
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of addressing the "one elderly and one child" issue in China, highlighting its significance for family welfare and the balanced development of the population. The government is urged to enhance policies for elderly care and childcare services to ensure equitable access and quality for all families [3][4]. Group 1: Policy Recommendations - The government should actively respond to population aging by improving the policies and mechanisms for the development of elderly care and childcare services [3]. - There is a need for a coordinated approach to integrate elderly care and childcare services, particularly in older residential areas, to alleviate the concerns of families with both elderly and young dependents [4][6]. - Establishing a comprehensive service system that includes both elderly care and childcare as part of basic public services is essential to lower service costs and improve accessibility [8]. Group 2: Resource Utilization - Internal resource optimization is necessary, utilizing urban renewal policies to upgrade existing facilities for elderly dining and community-based care institutions [5][6]. - Encouraging kindergartens to offer childcare services and allowing elderly care facilities to share resources with nearby communities can enhance service efficiency [6][7]. - The article suggests developing mutual assistance models where elderly individuals can care for each other and for children, promoting community engagement and resource sharing [6]. Group 3: Service Improvement - There is a call for better identification of the needs of the elderly and children to tailor services accordingly, including personalized home visits to gather individual requirements [7][8]. - The establishment of a comprehensive regulatory framework for elderly and childcare services is crucial to ensure quality and safety [9][10]. - Community involvement is highlighted as a key factor in delivering effective services, with recommendations for integrating various community resources to support elderly and childcare services [10][11].