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财通证券:上半年建筑业业绩仍承压 基本面稳健的建筑高股息标价值凸显
智通财经网· 2025-09-05 03:19
Core Viewpoint - The construction industry is facing pressure due to a decline in infrastructure and real estate demand, leading to a contraction in new contracts and a slowdown in project funding, resulting in decreased revenue and performance for construction companies [1][2] Group 1: Industry Performance - In the first half of 2025, the construction industry is experiencing overall operational pressure, with new contract sizes shrinking and project funding arriving slowly, causing both revenue and performance to decline [1] - The gross profit margin for listed construction companies in the first half of 2025 is 10.14%, a slight year-on-year decrease of 0.12 percentage points, while the expense ratio increased by 0.03 percentage points to 5.69% [1] - The net profit margin for the parent company is 2.39%, showing a slight year-on-year increase of 0.01 percentage points, despite a decrease in asset and credit impairment loss rates by 0.08 percentage points [1] Group 2: Cash Flow and Financial Health - Construction companies are actively working on cash collection, with the cash collection ratio improving by 6.29 percentage points year-on-year in the first half of 2025 [1] - The operating cash flow showed a net outflow of 484.67 billion yuan, which is a decrease in outflow by 13.9 billion yuan year-on-year, with the second quarter showing a net outflow of 48.64 billion yuan, down by 23.89 billion yuan year-on-year [1] - The asset-liability ratio and interest-bearing debt ratio have increased since the beginning of the year, rising by 0.57 percentage points and 1.63 percentage points to 77.52% and 28.18%, respectively [1] Group 3: Sector-Specific Insights - Despite the overall downturn, specialized engineering and steel structure sub-industries have seen profit growth, with chemical and petroleum engineering benefiting from relatively strong demand [2] - The landscaping and decoration industries continue to face challenges due to insufficient downstream demand, but there are signs of improvement in profitability and cash flow as bad debt provisions progress and recent debt relief policies take effect [2] Group 4: Investment Recommendations - Future improvements in construction workload could benefit upstream raw material companies like cement and steel, as well as leading construction firms, highlighting the investment value of stable, high-dividend construction stocks [3] - Companies such as China State Construction (601668.SH), Tunnel Engineering (600820.SH), and China Steel International (000928.SZ) are recommended for their low valuations and high dividends [3] - Attention is also drawn to leading firms like Honglu Steel Structure (002541.SZ) and China Metallurgical Group (601618.SH), which are expected to emerge from the cyclical bottom [3]