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新加坡经济增长超预期显韧性
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2026-01-27 22:10
Economic Growth - Singapore's GDP growth for 2025 is projected at 4.8%, an increase of 0.4 percentage points from 4.4% in 2024, marking the strongest growth since 2021 [1] - The manufacturing sector is identified as the core engine of growth, with an annual output increase of 7.6% and a quarterly growth of 15% in Q4 [1] - The services sector is expected to grow by 4.1% in 2025, slightly lower than the 4.3% growth in 2024, with significant contributions from information and communication, finance, and professional services [2] Manufacturing Sector - The biopharmaceutical and electronics industries are highlighted as dual pillars of growth, benefiting from concentrated orders in tumor drugs and vaccines, as well as the AI development wave [1] - Integrated circuit exports are projected to increase by 32.1%, disk media products by 53.5%, and communication equipment by 81.4%, reflecting strong demand for high-end manufacturing driven by global AI infrastructure investments [1] Services Sector - The services sector shows a clear internal structural differentiation, with traditional consumer services like accommodation and food services growing only 3.2%, significantly lower than the previous year's 4.6% [2] - New emerging businesses such as digital trust and cross-border carbon credit management contributed over 300 million SGD to revenue, reinforcing Singapore's position as a leader in sustainable finance within ASEAN [2] Construction Sector - The construction industry is expected to grow by 4.2% in 2025, a significant decline from the 9.2% growth in 2024, yet still maintaining positive growth amid high interest rates and labor shortages [3] - The government has introduced a "Construction 4.0 Transformation Blueprint" to mandate the use of digital technologies in large projects, aiming to drive technological upgrades in the sector [3] Trade Performance - Non-oil domestic exports are projected to grow by 4.8%, aligning with GDP growth and significantly higher than the 0.2% growth in 2024 [4] - Electronic exports have maintained double-digit growth for four consecutive months, offsetting declines in other sectors such as petrochemicals and shipbuilding [4] Future Outlook - The Ministry of Trade and Industry forecasts a GDP growth range of 1% to 3% for 2026, reflecting a cautious approach amid external headwinds and internal transformation challenges [5] - The government plans to launch a new economic strategy review, focusing on enhancing supply chain resilience, deepening AI and advanced manufacturing integration, and expanding regional service trade networks [5]