强农惠农富农支持制度改革

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《农村绿皮书:中国农村经济形势分析与预测(2024~2025)》发布
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-06 15:15
Core Insights - The "Green Book" published by the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences predicts a stable and positive development trend for China's agricultural and rural economy in 2024, contributing significantly to high-quality economic growth [1][3] - The per capita disposable income of rural residents is expected to reach approximately 24,000 yuan in 2025, reflecting steady income growth [3] Economic Performance - In 2024, the added value of the primary industry is projected to be 91,414 billion yuan, with a real growth of 3.5%, contributing 5.3% to GDP growth [1] - Fixed asset investment in agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery is expected to grow by 6.4%, with significant increases in the food processing and manufacturing sectors, at 18.0% and 22.9% respectively [1] - The total retail sales of consumer goods in rural areas are anticipated to grow by 4.3%, increasing their share of total retail sales to 13.7% [1] Agricultural Production - The total grain production in 2024 is projected to reach 70649.9 million tons, marking a 1.6% increase and surpassing 700 million tons for the first time [2] - The yield per hectare for grain is expected to be 5,921.1 kg, reflecting a 1.3% increase, with wheat and corn showing the largest production growth at 2.6% and 2.1% respectively [2] Trade and Income - The agricultural trade deficit is expected to decrease to 112.15 billion USD, a reduction of 16.7% from the previous year, with a significant drop in corn imports by 49.7% to 13.64 million tons [2] - The average monthly income for migrant workers is projected to be 4,961 yuan, reflecting a growth of 3.8% [2] Future Outlook - The agricultural economy is expected to maintain stability in 2025, with continued support from government reforms and increased financial backing for agriculture [3] - Grain production is anticipated to remain stable at around 700 million tons, with prices for key agricultural products expected to stabilize [3] - The income disparity between urban and rural residents is projected to decrease, with the urban-rural income ratio expected to drop to around 2.3 [3]