Core Viewpoint - The current market is in a "three-phase overlap" characterized by a mid-bull market consolidation period, a critical phase for verifying economic conditions, and a performance policy gap, leading to increased market volatility and year-end profit-taking by investors [1] Market Environment - Recent overseas disturbances have impacted the market, with fluctuating expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut in December affecting global liquidity [1] - Nvidia's earnings report exceeded expectations, but its stock experienced significant volatility due to investor concerns about the sustainability of AI spending, which has also affected sentiment in the A-share market [1] Long-term and Short-term Strategies - Long-term factors supporting a slow bull market remain unchanged; however, short-term strategies should focus on opportunistic positioning [1] - Investors are advised to wait for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy meeting and the Central Economic Work Conference in mid-December before making significant moves [1] - If market adjustments are sufficient, there may be opportunities to increase positions, with attention to the support levels of the 60-day and half-year moving averages and market volume conditions [1] Industry Focus - Key industries to watch include banking, oil and petrochemicals, steel, agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, lithium batteries, and new materials [1]

政策红利下农林牧渔企业的三大增长 路径——《"十五五"规划建议》解读 联合资信 工商评级二部 | 李思雨 伦海玲 "加快农业农村现代化，扎实推进乡村全面振兴"，《中共中央关于制定国 民经济和社会发展第十五个五年规划的建议》将农业农村现代化提升至中 国式现代化全局战略高度。这一部署从政策补贴、效率提升、产业融合创 新等多维度，构建起行业高质量发展的政策框架。在政策支持与市场需求 的双重驱动下，农林牧渔企业可通过三大核心路径把握机遇、实现盈利增 长与结构优化。 www.lhratings.com 研究报告 1 农林牧渔是中国国民经济第一产业。"加快农业农村现代化，扎实推进乡村全面 振兴"，《中共中央关于制定国民经济和社会发展第十五个五年规划的建议》（以下简 称《"十五五"规划建议》）将农业农村现代化提升至中国式现代化全局战略高度，从 政策补贴、效率提升、产业融合创新等维度，为农林牧渔行业企业的高质量发展构建 了政策框架。 路径一：政策补贴叠加多元融资支撑，构建盈利基础 《"十五五"规划建议》明确"提高强农惠农富农政策效能，健全财政优先保障、 金融重点倾斜、社会积极参与的多元投入格局"。 同时，2025 年 2 月 ...

Core Insights - The overall ESG management level in the agricultural industry is moderate, with a normal distribution of ESG practice scores peaking in the 0.55-0.60 range, indicating a "middle large, two ends small" distribution characteristic [1] - Leading sectors include agricultural services and dairy, with companies like Jinlongyu (300999), COFCO Sugar (600737), China Shengmu (000048), and Jingji Zhino (000048) setting benchmarks for ESG leadership [1] - 41% of companies are in the excellent stage of ESG integration, while 38% are in the proactive stage, 17% in the development stage, and 4% in the initial stage [1] ESG Performance Analysis - Companies show uneven performance across key ESG issues, with water and marine resource management scoring highest in environmental topics, while biodiversity protection remains a common shortcoming [2] - In social issues, consumer rights protection is strong, but investment in rural revitalization is relatively insufficient and homogeneous [2] - Governance issues show strong performance in identifying and addressing sustainable risks, but stakeholder communication mechanisms and anti-competitive practices need significant improvement [2] Management Effectiveness - There is notable differentiation in management effectiveness among sample companies, with leading firms establishing standardized ESG management systems, while many small and medium enterprises struggle with goal quantification and process standardization [2] - The dairy industry exhibits stricter food safety and quality regulations compared to other sectors, aided by centralized regulation and high industry concentration [2] - Overall, companies show structural differences in risk coverage, opportunity capture, and long-term impact identification, with a weak capacity for green transformation and long-term ecological and social impact recognition [2] ESG Value Accounting - The research introduces ESG value accounting in the agricultural sector, analyzing 153 agricultural listed companies based on industry risk characteristics and business exposure [2][4] Industry Trends - The number and proportion of companies creating positive ESG impacts are on the rise across four categories: agriculture, liquor, dairy, and food processing, with respective positive impact proportions of approximately 30%, 14%, 30%, and 20% [4] - In agriculture, carbon emission intensity is decreasing, with over 80% of companies showing effective greenhouse gas management [4] - The liquor industry has a 14% positive impact rate, with decreasing environmental and resource usage intensity [4] - In the dairy sector, harmful solid waste emission intensity is declining, with about 60% of companies showing ESG opportunities [4] - The food processing industry has nearly 70% of companies generating positive social impacts, with over 40% showing ESG opportunities [4] Recommendations for Improvement - The report suggests three core recommendations: encourage leading enterprises to build ESG collaborative mechanisms, develop common industry indicators and efficient data collection tools, and enhance ESG performance orientation in fiscal subsidies and green credit policies to support small and medium enterprises [5]

消费市场保持平稳复苏。前三季度，社会消费品零售总额达921.79亿元，同比增长2.7%。消费升级类商 品表现突出，家用电器和音像器材类零售额大幅增长74.8%，文化办公用品类增长63.0%，反映出居民 对品质生活的追求持续释放。线上消费延续活跃态势，限额以上单位通过公共网络实现的商品零售额增 长8.2%，显示新型消费模式潜力不减。 金融支持力度不减，物价水平总体稳定 在复杂多变的宏观环境下，肇庆市2025年前三季度经济"成绩单"近日出炉：全市生产总值达2121.48亿 元，同比增长4.6%。这一稳健增长背后，不仅是总量的提升，更是产业结构持续优化、新质动能加速 崛起的体现，展现出肇庆经济高质量发展的韧性与活力。 农业"压舱石"稳固，农产品供给充足 相关统计显示，农业基本盘持续夯实。前三季度，全市农林牧渔业总产值达512.26亿元，同比增长 5.5%，增速表现突出。主要农产品产量稳定增长，蔬菜、生猪、水产品等供应充足，有效保障了居 民"菜篮子"量足价稳。农林牧渔专业及辅助性活动实现11.5%的高速增长，折射出农业社会化服务、专 业化经营水平的提升，现代农业发展步伐加快。 工业动能向"新"而行，先进装备制造业增速 ...

Economic Overview - The GDP of Huicheng District reached 858.71 billion yuan in the first three quarters, showing a stable growth of 4.0% year-on-year at constant prices [1] - The primary industry added value was 28.60 billion yuan, growing by 2.4%; the secondary industry decreased by 2.1% to 221.57 billion yuan; the tertiary industry increased by 6.7% to 608.55 billion yuan [1] Agricultural Sector - The total output value of agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery in Huicheng District was 44.10 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 2.7% [2] - Forestry output value surged by 196.6%, while agricultural output increased by 5.5% [2] - Vegetable production reached 380,700 tons, up 4.5% year-on-year; fruit production increased by 13.4% to 54,500 tons [2] Industrial Performance - The total industrial output value for the first three quarters was 684.36 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 9.1% [3] - In September alone, the industrial output value was 94.44 billion yuan, showing a significant increase of 16.7% year-on-year [3] - Manufacturing sector grew by 10.5%, while mining and electricity sectors saw declines [3] Service Sector Growth - The service sector's added value grew by 6.7%, with notable increases in various sub-sectors [4] - The wholesale and retail sector grew by 11.9%, and the information technology services sector increased by 12.3% [4] - Social retail sales totaled 609.96 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 4.8% [4] Consumer Trends - Retail sales of food and household appliances saw significant growth, with food retail reaching 39.22 billion yuan, up 8.6% [5] - Online retail sales increased by 31.6%, accounting for 32.8% of total retail sales [5] Trade and Investment - The total import and export value reached 302.2 billion yuan, growing by 20.3% [6] - Exports totaled 185.4 billion yuan, with a growth of 19.6% [6] - Fixed asset investment saw a significant decline of 39.6%, with real estate investment dropping by 49.2% [6]

Core Insights - Lhasa's GDP for the first three quarters reached 75.391 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 7.1%, maintaining the same growth rate as the overall region [1] Economic Performance - The primary industry added value was 1.482 billion yuan, growing by 9.0% year-on-year [1] - The secondary industry added value was 34.097 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 8.8% [1] - The tertiary industry added value was 39.812 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year growth of 6.0% [1] Sector Contributions - Agricultural production showed stable growth, with total output value in agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery reaching 2.721 billion yuan, up by 8.0% year-on-year [1] - The industrial sector maintained rapid growth, with the added value of above-scale industries increasing by 16.7%, accelerating by 4.2 percentage points compared to the same period last year, ranking third among all cities in the region [1] - The consumer market developed steadily, with total retail sales of consumer goods reaching 39.069 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 4.0% [1]

Economic Performance - The production value of the region reached 251.71 billion yuan in the first three quarters, with a year-on-year growth of 6.2%, indicating a stable and improving economic performance [1] - The agricultural, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery sectors saw a total output value increase of 5.5%, with record yields in winter wheat across various scales [1] - Industrial added value for enterprises above designated size grew by 7.4%, while the construction industry increased by 10.3%, contributing 21.7% to overall economic growth [1] Investment and Consumption - Fixed asset investment grew by 10% year-on-year, reflecting robust investment activity [1] - The total retail sales of consumer goods reached 67.908 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 7.6%, highlighting the strengthening role of consumption in the economy [1] Employment and Social Welfare - The region achieved a total of 76,700 new urban jobs, completing 91.3% of the annual target, demonstrating a stable employment situation [2] - Significant support was provided to 32,100 unemployed individuals for re-employment, along with 7,800 individuals facing employment difficulties, showcasing effective measures in job stabilization [2]

Economic Overview - Wuhan's GDP for the first three quarters of 2025 reached 15,537.82 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 5.6% at constant prices [3] - The primary industry added value was 370.81 billion yuan, growing by 3.7%; the secondary industry added value was 5,068.39 billion yuan, growing by 4.8%; and the tertiary industry added value was 10,098.62 billion yuan, growing by 6.0% [4] Agricultural Sector - The total output value of agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery reached 608.38 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 3.9% [11] - Major agricultural products saw production increases, with summer grain and early rice totaling 120,500 tons, up by 0.6% from the previous year [11] Industrial Sector - The industrial added value for large-scale enterprises grew by 5.4%, accelerating by 0.3 percentage points compared to the first half of the year [13] - High-tech manufacturing added value increased by 16.3%, accounting for 25.2% of the total industrial added value [13] - Notable growth was observed in the computer, communication, and other electronic equipment manufacturing sector, which grew by 18.0% [13] Service Sector - The service industry added value increased by 6.0%, with transportation, warehousing, and postal services growing by 10.8% [15] - Revenue from large-scale service enterprises rose by 11.6%, with significant increases in various service sectors [15] Investment Trends - Fixed asset investment grew by 2.0%, with industrial investment increasing by 12.0% and infrastructure investment by 6.2% [17] - High-tech industry investment rose by 2.9%, with high-tech service and manufacturing investments growing by 13.2% and 0.4%, respectively [17] Consumer Market - The total retail sales of consumer goods reached 6,299.74 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 5.5% [19] - The "old for new" policy positively impacted retail sales in home appliances and building materials, with increases of 28.6% and 21.0%, respectively [20] Trade and Finance - The total import and export volume was 3,369.6 billion yuan, growing by 15.8% year-on-year [22] - Financial institutions reported a deposit balance of 42,864.83 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 5.1% [22] Income and Prices - Per capita disposable income reached 46,107 yuan, with urban and rural incomes growing by 4.6% and 5.9%, respectively [24] - The consumer price index rose by 0.3% year-on-year, with various categories showing different price trends [24] Conclusion - Overall, Wuhan's economy showed stable growth in the first three quarters of 2025, with a focus on consolidating the recovery and addressing external uncertainties [25]

Economic Overview - Heilongjiang Province's GDP for the first three quarters reached 11,489.0 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 4.8% [1] - The primary industry added value was 1,186.0 billion yuan, growing by 4.3%; the secondary industry added value was 3,014.2 billion yuan, increasing by 3.8%; the tertiary industry added value was 7,288.8 billion yuan, rising by 5.2% [1] Agricultural Sector - The total output value of agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery in Heilongjiang Province was 2,275.3 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 4.4% [3] - Vegetable and edible fungus production reached 7.549 million tons, growing by 5.1%; fruit production was 1.704 million tons, increasing by 4.6% [3] - Livestock production saw 18.397 million pigs and 228.091 million live poultry, with growth rates of 4.9% and 7.1%, respectively [3] - Aquaculture produced 710,000 tons of aquatic products, marking a 10.7% increase [3] Industrial Sector - The added value of large-scale industrial enterprises grew by 4.8%, an increase of 7.5 percentage points compared to the previous year [4] - Mining industry added value increased by 5.5%, manufacturing by 4.4%, and electricity, heat, gas, and water production and supply by 3.3% [4] - Key industries such as equipment manufacturing saw a 15.8% increase in added value, with electrical machinery and equipment manufacturing growing by 43.0% [4] Service Sector - The added value of the service industry grew by 5.2%, an increase of 1.1 percentage points year-on-year [5] - The tourism sector welcomed 206.711 million visitors, a growth of 11.2%, with tourism spending reaching 276.99 billion yuan, up by 19.5% [5] - The revenue from cultural, sports, and entertainment industries increased by 6.2%, with sports and entertainment sectors growing by 12.9% and 10.2%, respectively [5] Consumer Market - The total retail sales of consumer goods reached 4,024.6 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 4.5% [6] - Retail sales of communication equipment and home appliances grew significantly by 60.8% and 56.8%, respectively [6] - Online retail sales increased by 16.0%, with physical goods online retail growing by 11.3% [6] Investment Trends - Fixed asset investment decreased by 7.6%, with first industry investment down by 24.0% and third industry investment down by 9.7% [7] - Industrial investment grew by 0.7%, with manufacturing investment increasing by 14.7% [7] - Private investment rose by 12.5%, accounting for 30.6% of total investment, an increase of 5.0 percentage points [7] Income and Price Trends - Per capita disposable income reached 22,810 yuan, growing by 5.0% [7] - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) fell by 0.3% in September, with six categories of goods and services increasing in price [8]

Core Insights - In the first nine months, the total operating revenue of state-owned enterprises (SOEs) increased by 0.9% year-on-year, while total profits decreased by 1.6% [1] Revenue Summary - The total operating revenue of SOEs reached 613,290.5 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 0.9% [1] Profit Summary - The total profit of SOEs amounted to 31,670.3 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year decline of 1.6% [1] Tax and Fees Summary - The taxes and fees payable by SOEs were 44,145.4 billion yuan, which represents a year-on-year increase of 0.5% [1] Debt Summary - As of the end of September, the asset-liability ratio of SOEs was 65.2%, an increase of 0.2 percentage points year-on-year [1]