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连巴西也要卡中国!大豆涨价趁机会,中国不买账,美抢着送订单
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-02 06:09
Group 1 - The international soybean market is experiencing significant price fluctuations, with Brazilian soybean prices rising sharply while U.S. prices are declining due to excess inventory [1][3] - Brazilian soybean prices increased from $580 to $650 per ton, representing a 12% rise, which translates to an additional $7 million for a 100,000-ton purchase [1] - U.S. soybean inventory has reached 1.82 billion bushels, a 45% increase compared to the same period last year, leading to lower prices [1][3] Group 2 - The price difference between U.S. and Brazilian soybeans has widened to $66 per ton, creating a competitive environment for buyers [3] - Chinese buyers are now in a strong position, having diversified their sources of soybean imports, reducing reliance on any single supplier [3][6] - Argentina is expected to increase its market share in China to 22% by 2025, while Russia is also increasing its soybean exports to China, providing more options for buyers [6][8] Group 3 - The competitive landscape allows China to leverage its purchasing power, choosing suppliers based on price and quality rather than loyalty [8][10] - U.S. soybean prices are becoming attractive again due to the need for U.S. farmers and exporters to clear excess inventory, providing opportunities for Chinese buyers to take advantage of lower prices [8][10] - The dynamics of the global soybean market are increasingly influenced by China's purchasing decisions, making it a key player in determining market trends [10]