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18%年化收益,最大回撤仅8%!交易奇才乔·维迪奇的“收割亏损”艺术
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-03 08:42
Core Insights - Joe Vidich is a highly respected hedge fund manager known for his expertise in navigating financial markets and consistently generating returns for investors [2] - Vidich has a proven track record in asset management, identifying investment opportunities strategically while effectively managing risks [2] - His fund, Manalapan, achieved an annualized net return of 18% (pre-tax 24%) since its inception in May 2001, with a maximum drawdown of only 8%, outperforming its benchmark, the HFR Equity Hedge Index, which had an annualized return of just 4% and a maximum drawdown of 29% [3] Early Experience - Vidich graduated with a Master's degree in International Business from Columbia University and accumulated approximately 12 years of practical experience as a stockbroker and market maker before founding his own fund [4] - His experience as a market maker provided valuable insights into short selling, as he primarily dealt with retail clients who preferred long positions [4] Early Lessons - Vidich emphasizes the importance of conducting personal research and having confidence in one's information, rather than relying on others' advice [5] - He notes that market fear often presents buying opportunities and warns against shorting stocks solely because they appear "expensive" or going long on those that seem "cheap" [5] - He highlights the danger of the "value trap," where high-quality growth stocks are often overvalued, and poor companies remain undervalued until the market recognizes a turnaround [5] Trading Style - Vidich combines long-term investing with short-term trading, assessing macroeconomic trends before selecting promising industries and individual stocks based on fundamentals and price behavior [7] - His fund has a high turnover rate of 20 times per year, with about 15 times attributed to short selling, and net exposure can range from 80% long to 37% short [7] Market Opening Insights - Vidich observes that in bull markets, prices typically open low and rise, while in bear markets, the opposite occurs [8] - He believes that the first half-hour of trading often involves either inexperienced or exceptionally skilled traders [8] Emotional Management - Vidich stresses the importance of not becoming overly attached to one's positions and suggests selling during downturns rather than at peaks to maintain rationality [10] - He advocates for small position sizes to avoid fear-driven decision-making and emphasizes the need for flexibility in changing one's viewpoint [10][12] Chart Analysis - Vidich considers chart patterns crucial, particularly when prices break out of a prolonged consolidation phase with increased volume, indicating significant market movements [12] Diversification - Proper diversification can mitigate the impact of individual trades, and active reduction of exposure is necessary when market conditions are unclear [12] Summary of Key Takeaways - Vidich's approach to trading is characterized by flexibility, allowing for dynamic shifts between long and short positions based on price movements [17] - The concept of "cutting losses" is central to his risk management philosophy, reinforcing the importance of timely decision-making in trading [18]