场。 上海财经大学供图 中新网上海9月18日电 (记者 许婧)写字楼不仅是城市经济的重要载体，也是金融稳定与产业发展的交汇 点。18日在上海召开的"潮涌东方金融论坛：写字楼市场运行与金融风险防范研讨会"上，与会专家学者 聚焦中国写字楼市场运行现状与潜在金融风险，共议应对策略与发展前景。 研讨会现 上海财经大学财税投资学院副教授邓旷旷表示，土地利用类型的灵活转换可能是办公楼市场纾困的有效 渠道。上海长租公寓项目有大量是从低效写字楼改建的，这些长租公寓不仅对传统住宅小区租金的负面 影响很小，还明显提升了社区消费活力。无论是从短期还是长期来看，允许土地用途在不同物业类型间 弹性转换，将有利于市场的平稳发展。 上海财经大学副校长、上财浦发金融创新研究院院长姚玲珍教授指出，市场的阵痛是转型的必经之路， 风险的暴露也是治理的契机。唯有政策、市场和产业多方协同，才能推动写字楼市场止跌回稳，实现高 质量发展。 上海财经大学财税投资学院助理教授张莉提到，互联网与发达交通网络正重塑上海写字楼市场，使区域 租金差缩小。新兴孵化空间需求旺盛，医美、轻医疗等成为楼宇转化方向，但改造仍面临成本与审批约 束。当前市场机遇与挑战并存，结构性 ...

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley forecasts a return rate of approximately 10% for Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) in 2025, with varying growth potential across different property types [1] Summary by Relevant Sections Expected Returns - The expected return for REITs in 2025 is driven by a 4% dividend yield, 2%-7% growth in funds from operations (FFO), and potential valuation expansion [1] Market Performance - REITs have shown strong performance at the start of 2025, but recent market volatility makes future trends uncertain [1] - Historical trends indicate that when economic downturn risks transition from mere concerns to actual impacts on corporate earnings, market focus on REITs tends to increase [1] Interest Rate Impact - Higher interest rates, particularly the influence of the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield, pose risks to stock performance [1] Earnings Expectations - REIT earnings are projected to grow by approximately 3% in 2025, remaining stable compared to 2024, with an acceleration to nearly 6% growth expected by 2026 [1] - The growth opportunities for REITs are anticipated as more real estate assets re-enter the market, which could drive earnings acceleration in 2026 [1] - In the event of a significant economic slowdown, REITs may exhibit greater earnings resilience compared to most market sectors [1] Key REITs with High Returns - Notable REITs expected to exceed a 10% return in 2025 include: - Diversified Healthcare Trust (DHC.US) - Paramount Group (PGRE.US) - EPR Properties (EPR.US) - American Healthcare REIT (AHR.US) - Peakstone Realty Trust (PKST.US) - Welltower (WELL.US) - JBG SMITH Properties (JBGS.US) - American Tower (AMT.US) - Medical Properties Trust (MPW.US) - W. P. Carey (WPC.US) - NETSTREIT (NTST.US) - Alexander's (ALX.US) - Postal Realty Trust (PSTL.US) - VICI Properties (VICI.US) - SBA Communications (SBAC.US) - Crown Castle (CCI.US) [1]