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伟伟道来 王不见王,俄乌和平进程正紧张推进中
Jing Ji Guan Cha Wang· 2025-12-01 07:47
Core Points - The recent developments in the Russia-Ukraine peace process indicate a shift towards a more structured negotiation framework, with the U.S. proposing a 28-point plan that was later condensed to a 19-point plan during discussions in Geneva [1][2] - The discussions emphasize the importance of maintaining the current "contact line" as a consensus among the U.S., EU, and Ukraine, which could potentially lead to a ceasefire [3] - The proposal from the EU for Ukraine to commit to not using military means to reclaim occupied territories suggests a strategic move to isolate Russia further while maintaining pressure for territorial integrity [3] Summary by Sections U.S. and International Involvement - The U.S. has been actively involved in the peace negotiations, with President Trump approving a 28-point plan that was quickly modified to a 19-point plan following discussions with European and Ukrainian representatives [1][2] - The U.S. Secretary of State Rubio described the recent U.S.-Ukraine talks as constructive, although specific outcomes were not disclosed [2] Key Agreements and Proposals - A significant consensus appears to be the maintenance of the current "contact line," which may be acceptable to Russia, laying the groundwork for a potential ceasefire [3] - The EU's proposal for Ukraine to refrain from military actions to reclaim occupied territories is seen as a tactical maneuver to continue sanctions against Russia while pushing for territorial return [3] Future Considerations - The discussions around the establishment of a "reassurance force" led by the UK and France indicate ongoing international military support for Ukraine post-conflict, although the specifics remain unclear [2][3] - The potential for a UN-led peacekeeping force to monitor the ceasefire could emerge as a counterproposal from Russia, highlighting the complexities of international military involvement [4]
伟伟道来|王不见王,俄乌和平进程正紧张推进中
Jing Ji Guan Cha Wang· 2025-12-01 07:47
Core Points - The recent developments in the Russia-Ukraine peace process indicate a shift towards a more structured negotiation framework, with the U.S. proposing a 28-point plan that was later condensed to a 19-point plan during discussions in Geneva [2][3] - The discussions have been characterized by a tight schedule, with significant information being leaked, leading to a lack of transparency regarding the specific contents of the 19-point plan [3] - Key agreements include the reaffirmation that any future agreements must fully uphold Ukraine's sovereignty, and the proposal from the EU suggesting Ukraine should not use military means to reclaim occupied territories [5][6] Group 1 - The U.S. 28-point plan initially required Ukraine to withdraw from the Donbas region and for Russia to relinquish control of several territories, but the current situation shows both sides are unwilling to concede territory [6] - The consensus among the U.S., EU, and Ukraine appears to be maintaining the status quo along the "contact line," which could lay the groundwork for a ceasefire [6][7] - The proposal for a "reassurance force" led by the UK and France aims to provide security guarantees for Ukraine post-conflict, although its feasibility remains uncertain [5][7] Group 2 - The discussions have highlighted the reluctance of both Ukrainian President Zelensky and former President Trump to meet directly, indicating a complex political landscape where sensitive issues are deferred to higher-level negotiations [8] - The potential for a UN peacekeeping force to monitor the ceasefire has been suggested, which could involve a diverse composition of nations rather than solely Western countries [7][8]