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Vitalik:预测市场比社媒更理性,可作为缓解情绪化舆论的“真相工具”
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-21 02:54
Core Viewpoint - Vitalik Buterin, co-founder of Ethereum, argues that prediction markets serve as a "rational tool" for addressing emotional issues, despite theoretical concerns about negative incentives [1] Group 1: Prediction Markets vs. Traditional Markets - Prediction markets, according to Buterin, are less likely to cause large-scale harm compared to traditional markets, which also carry similar risks [1] - Unlike social media, which can incite emotions and lacks accountability, prediction markets utilize real funds to constrain opinions, leading to a closer approximation of truth over time [1] Group 2: Market Characteristics - The fixed price range of 0-1 in prediction markets reduces the influence of "hot potato" dynamics and excessive speculation compared to traditional markets [1]