政策范式转变
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特朗普施压美联储引燃市场忧虑,通胀预期飙升至六个月新高
智通财经网· 2025-08-29 12:20
Group 1 - The U.S. Treasury market remains relatively calm despite increasing criticism from President Trump towards the Federal Reserve, indicating growing investor concerns about potential interference in central bank decisions [1][3] - The 10-year breakeven rate reached a six-month high of 2.46% before falling to 2.41%, driven by a decline in TIPS yields to a four-month low of 1.81% due to increased demand for risk hedging [1][3] - Since April, inflation expectations among bond investors have been rising, nearing the peak of 2.52% reached in February, as Trump continues to pressure the Fed for interest rate cuts [3][4] Group 2 - The potential appointment of another Federal Reserve governor by the government could lead to a majority of Trump-appointed officials on the Fed board, raising concerns about the independence of the central bank [4] - The yield spread between 30-year and 5-year Treasury bonds has widened to the highest level since 2001, reflecting a market shift towards a potential policy paradigm change that may push the economy towards overheating [4]