效仿Strategy投资比特币

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比特币不再是股价“万灵丹”!效仿Strategy买币策略光环褪色
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-06-03 04:16
Core Viewpoint - The strategy of companies purchasing Bitcoin to boost stock prices may not be as effective as previously thought, with signs indicating that speculative premiums are diminishing [1][2]. Group 1: Company Performance - Companies like Trump Media Technology Group and others have announced plans to invest in Bitcoin, initially seeing stock price increases that outpaced their cryptocurrency holdings [1]. - However, recent performance shows that companies like Semler Scientific and Goodfood Market have lagged behind Bitcoin's price increases over the past two months [1]. - Trump Media Technology Group's stock dropped 18% following its announcement to raise approximately $2.5 billion for Bitcoin purchases [2]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The initial interest in companies buying Bitcoin was driven by speculative traders, but this demand has weakened over time [2]. - New entrants like Twenty One Capital are attempting to accumulate significant cryptocurrency assets, supported by major firms like Cantor Fitzgerald and SoftBank [5]. - Smaller companies are also entering the market, with some planning to acquire alternative cryptocurrencies [5]. Group 3: Investment Strategies - Companies are adopting various approaches to cryptocurrency investment, with some fully emulating the Strategy model while others integrate it with existing business operations [5]. - Goodfood's stock has fallen 67% since implementing a Bitcoin reserve plan, attributed to broader economic conditions rather than its Bitcoin investment [6]. - Companies like Metaplanet have outperformed Bitcoin by 17 times, indicating that in some regions, stocks may be more accessible than Bitcoin itself [6]. Group 4: Financial Instruments and Risks - Strategy has issued approximately $8 billion in convertible bonds to finance Bitcoin purchases, but the rising interest rates have affected its attractiveness [7]. - Other companies that issued bonds for cryptocurrency purchases have seen disappointing results, with Semler Scientific's bonds depreciating by 20% [7]. - The interconnectedness of stock prices and Bitcoin values poses a risk, as falling stock prices may force companies to sell Bitcoin to cover debts [7]. Group 5: Future Outlook - Despite the challenges, investor interest remains strong, with Strategy purchasing $427 million in Bitcoin recently [7]. - The diminishing returns from Bitcoin purchases are evident, as seen in the reduced stock price increase following major Bitcoin acquisitions [7]. - Experts suggest that while Strategy will continue to dominate, the trading behavior follows a diminishing returns curve, indicating a potential limit to growth [8].