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苏试试验(300416):Q3业绩低于预期 多重因素影响利润率
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-02 12:45
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a revenue of 1.588 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 8.95%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 157 million yuan, up 7.14% year-on-year. However, the third quarter results fell short of market expectations due to slower order recognition and declining profitability [1][2]. Financial Performance - For Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 541 million yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 10.57%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 9.43% to 40 million yuan, and the non-recurring net profit was down 3.67% to 35 million yuan [1]. - The gross margin for Q3 2025 was 38.68%, down 3.40 percentage points year-on-year and 4.31 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, primarily due to slight price declines in the industry and a higher proportion of low-margin orders in the recognized order structure [2]. - The net profit margin for Q3 2025 was 7.31%, down 1.62 percentage points year-on-year [2]. Cost Control and Future Outlook - The company maintained good cost control, with sales, management, R&D, and financial expense ratios at 7.23%, 10.55%, 8.07%, and 1.75%, respectively, showing improvements in sales and management expenses year-on-year [2]. - The company plans to focus on emerging industries such as commercial aerospace, aviation, integrated circuits, and intelligent robotics, aiming to enhance its technological capabilities and explore new business potentials [2]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - Due to a more significant-than-expected decline in profitability, the company has revised its net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 down by 9.7% and 10.5%, respectively, to 255 million yuan and 316 million yuan [3]. - The current stock price corresponds to a price-to-earnings ratio of 31.3 times for 2025 and 25.2 times for 2026. The company maintains an outperform rating, with a target price of 21.00 yuan, implying a potential upside of 34.0% from the current stock price [3].