3Q25 毛利率38.68%，同比-3.40pct，环比-4.31pct，我们判断主要系多重因素影响：1）行业价格略有下 行；2）本期确收订单结构中低毛利率订单占比较高；3）深圳宜特扩产带来折旧增加，我们期待Q4 确 收结构可能略有好转，同时伴随扩张产能的利用率爬升，这一影响也将逐步减弱；3Q25 净利率 7.31%，同比-1.62pct。 由于盈利能力下滑超预期，我们下调2025/2026 净利润9.7%/10.5%至2.55 亿元/3.16 亿元。当前股价对应 2025/2026年31.3 倍/25.2 倍市盈率。维持跑赢行业评级，由于新兴领域检测带动行业估值中枢上行、维 持21.00 元目标价，对应41.9 倍2025 年市盈率和33.8 倍2026 年市盈率，较当前股价有34.0%的上行空 间。 发展趋势 多重因素影响盈利能力，期待逐步好转。分业务来看，我们判断环试设备、环境服务和集成电路三大业 务收入增速较为均衡。 3Q25 业绩低于市场预期 费控良好，期待新领域布局潜力。3Q25 销售/管理/研发/财务费用率分别为7.23%/10.55%/8.07%/1.75%， 同比-0.99/-2.84/+0 ...

Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 1.53 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 9%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 160 million yuan, up 7% year-on-year [1] - In Q3 alone, the company achieved a revenue of 540 million yuan, marking an 11% increase year-on-year, but the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 9% to 40 million yuan [1] - The decline in profit growth was attributed to intensified competition in the equipment and environmental testing service sectors, increased credit impairment provisions, and higher depreciation from new capacity [1] Financial Performance - The gross profit margin for Q3 was 38.7%, down 3.4 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 8.2%, a decrease of 2.2 percentage points [2] - The company’s expense ratio for Q3 was 27.6%, down 3 percentage points year-on-year, with sales, management, R&D, and financial expense ratios showing varied changes [2] Market Position and Growth Potential - The company is positioned in a high-barrier testing sector, with significant growth potential as the inspection and testing industry in China is projected to reach approximately 470 billion yuan in revenue for 2023, growing over 9% [2] - The company is expanding into high-end fields such as 5G and is well-positioned to benefit from the recovery in special industry demand and the ongoing domestic chip production and specialization [2] Profit Forecast and Investment Rating - The profit forecast for 2025-2027 has been adjusted to 250 million yuan (previously 280 million), 330 million yuan (previously 350 million), and 430 million yuan (unchanged), with corresponding PE ratios of 34, 25, and 20 times [3] - The investment rating is maintained at "Buy" [3]

Summary of Su Shi Testing Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Su Shi Testing - **Industry**: Testing and Inspection Services Key Financial Performance - **Revenue Growth**: 6.72% increase in H1 2025, reaching 999.1 million CNY [2][3] - **Net Profit**: 14.18% increase, totaling 117 million CNY [3] - **Integrated Circuit Revenue**: Grew by 21.01%, reaching 155 million CNY [2][3] - **Overall Gross Margin**: Decreased by 3.16% to 41.88% [2][3] - **Net Margin**: Increased by 0.27% to 13.51% [3] Segment Performance - **Environmental Testing Equipment**: Revenue of 310 million CNY, up 6.32% [3] - **Environmental Testing Services**: Revenue of 487 million CNY, up 5.75% [3] - **Integrated Circuit Segment**: Gross margin of 36.49%, down 6.38% [3] Strategic Insights - **Focus on Emerging Industries**: Plans to reduce investment in traditional sectors and increase focus on aerospace and commercial space [4][15] - **New Product Development**: Emphasis on R&D to counteract declining gross margins [6][19] - **Capacity Utilization**: Increased from 30% to over 70% in Shanghai [12] Market Trends and Opportunities - **Vacuum Testing Equipment Demand**: Strong demand with plans to achieve billion-level revenue [2][8][29] - **AI and High-Performance Chip Testing**: Significant growth in testing services, with AI chip clients accounting for nearly 10% of business [2][9] - **Third-Party Testing Demand**: Recovery observed, with orders increasing to over 15% [22][23] Challenges and Risks - **Price Pressure**: Increased competition leading to price pressures across all segments [6][19] - **Delivery Speed of Large Orders**: Need to monitor the delivery speed of large orders in H2 2025 [5][24] - **Impact of Policy Changes**: Restrictions on outsourcing may affect operational efficiency [32][39] Future Outlook - **Optimistic H2 2025**: Anticipated growth in equipment and testing service orders, with a focus on improving delivery speed [5][10] - **Capital Expenditure Trends**: Expected to remain stable with a slight decrease, focusing on emerging sectors [16][18] - **Long-Term Growth in Special Industries**: Positive outlook for special industries over the next few years [36] Conclusion - Su Shi Testing is positioned for growth in emerging sectors, particularly in aerospace and AI chip testing, while facing challenges from price competition and policy restrictions. The company is actively working on improving operational efficiency and expanding its market presence.

Macro Strategy - The report discusses the potential growth of bond ETFs, suggesting that despite the inherent advantages of actively managed bond funds, there is room for ETFs to leverage their product strengths. It highlights the significant improvement in liquidity for credit bonds through ETFs and suggests expanding the range of tracked indices [1][16]. - The report emphasizes the expected growth in the management scale of domestic index bond funds, particularly credit bond index ETFs and equity-linked ETFs, as the equity market recovers [1][16]. Macro Commentary - The July FOMC meeting maintained interest rates at 4.25-4.5%, signaling a hawkish stance as inflation targets remain distant compared to employment goals. This may delay rate cuts until Q4 2025, with expectations for 2-year and 10-year U.S. Treasury yields to rise to 4.05% and 4.5% respectively [2][17]. - The second quarter GDP growth in the U.S. was reported at +3.0%, reversing the previous quarter's -0.5% and exceeding market expectations. However, the core GDP indicator, PDFP, only grew by +1.2%, indicating that the growth was largely driven by inventory adjustments rather than strong internal economic growth [3][19]. Fixed Income Analysis - The report notes that the issuance of secondary capital bonds totaled 109.9 billion yuan, with a trading volume of approximately 288.1 billion yuan, reflecting an increase in market activity [7]. - Green bond issuance reached 35.9 billion yuan, with a trading volume of 61 billion yuan, indicating a growing interest in sustainable finance [7]. Company-Specific Insights - Su Shi Testing (300416) reported a 26% year-on-year increase in net profit for Q2, driven by strong growth in the integrated circuit sector. The profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been adjusted to 280 million, 350 million, and 430 million yuan respectively, maintaining a "buy" rating [10]. - Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Ltd. (300750) slightly exceeded profit expectations, with net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 set at 66.1 billion, 80.2 billion, and 96.6 billion yuan, maintaining a "buy" rating due to its leading position in the global battery market [11]. - Yonghui Supermarket (601933) plans to raise 4 billion yuan through a private placement to support store renovations, with adjusted profit forecasts reflecting a potential recovery in performance [13]. - Huaneng International (600011) reported a 24.3% increase in net profit for the first half of 2025, benefiting from a 9.2% decrease in coal costs. The profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been adjusted to 13.78 billion, 16.02 billion, and 17.53 billion yuan, maintaining a "buy" rating [14].

Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong financial performance for the first half of 2025, exceeding market expectations with significant year-on-year growth in revenue and net profit [1] Financial Performance - The company achieved revenue of 991 million, representing a year-on-year increase of 8.09%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 117 million, up 14.18% year-on-year [1] - In Q2, revenue reached 561 million, showing an 18.39% increase year-on-year, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 76 million, reflecting a 26.14% year-on-year growth [1] Business Segments - All main business segments experienced growth, with the aerospace sector and integrated circuit testing showing the best performance [2] - Revenue from testing equipment was 310 million, up 6.32% year-on-year; environmental testing services generated 487 million, a 5.75% increase; and integrated circuit testing revenue was 155 million, marking a 21.01% year-on-year growth [2] - In terms of downstream applications, revenue from electronics and electrical appliances was 385 million (up 2.86% year-on-year), research and testing institutions contributed 219 million (up 1.84%), aerospace generated 147 million (up 46.24%), automotive and rail transit brought in 98 million (up 14.46%), while shipbuilding revenue was 46 million (down 14.53%) [2] Profitability Metrics - Gross margin remained under pressure at 41.88%, down 3.16 percentage points year-on-year, with specific margins for environmental testing equipment, services, and semiconductor testing at 26.56%, 54.95%, and 36.49% respectively [3] - Net margin improved to 13.51%, up 0.27 percentage points year-on-year, with a non-GAAP net margin of 11.53%, an increase of 1.21 percentage points [3] - The improvement in net margin was attributed to a decrease in expense ratios across sales, management, R&D, and financial costs, which were 7.35%, 11.49%, 8.18%, and 1.55% respectively, all showing year-on-year declines [3] Future Outlook - The company maintains its profit forecast, projecting net profits attributable to shareholders of 312 million, 379 million, and 461 million for 2025-2027, with corresponding PE ratios of 27X, 22X, and 18X [4] - The current valuation is below historical averages, indicating potential for a turnaround in profitability [4]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong financial performance in the first half of 2025, with significant growth in net profit and revenue, particularly in the integrated circuit testing segment, indicating a positive outlook for future growth driven by industry demand and capacity expansion [2][4]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved total revenue of 990 million, a year-on-year increase of 8%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 120 million, up 14% year-on-year [2]. - In Q2 alone, the company recorded revenue of 560 million, representing an 18% year-on-year growth, and a net profit of 70 million, which is a 26% increase year-on-year [2]. - The gross profit margin for the first half of 2025 was 41.9%, a decrease of 3.2 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 13.5%, an increase of 0.3 percentage points year-on-year [3]. Segment Performance - Revenue from environmental testing services reached 490 million, growing 6% year-on-year, while revenue from environmental testing equipment also grew 6% to 310 million [2]. - The integrated circuit testing segment saw revenue of 160 million, marking a 21% year-on-year increase [2]. - Gross profit margins by segment were as follows: environmental testing services at 55.0% (down 0.8 percentage points), environmental testing equipment at 26.6% (down 4.7 percentage points), and integrated circuit testing at 36.5% (down 6.4 percentage points) [3]. Industry Outlook - The company is well-positioned in the high-barrier testing sector, with a focus on special industries, semiconductors, and new energy vehicles, while also expanding into high-end fields like 5G [4]. - The overall testing and inspection industry in China is projected to reach approximately 470 billion in revenue for 2023, with a year-on-year growth exceeding 9%, indicating a broad market opportunity [4]. - Future growth is expected to be driven by the recovery of special industry demand, domestic chip production, and the release of capacity from newly expanded laboratories in Suzhou, Xi'an, Qingdao, and Chengdu [4].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's Q2 net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 26% year-on-year, exceeding expectations, with the integrated circuit testing segment showing remarkable growth [3] - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved total operating revenue of 990 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8%, and a net profit of 120 million yuan, up 14% year-on-year [3] - The company is expected to benefit from the demand recovery in special industries and the domestic semiconductor supply chain, with performance growth likely to continue [5] Financial Performance Summary - For the first half of 2025, the company's gross profit margin was 41.9%, a decrease of 3.2 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 13.5%, an increase of 0.3 percentage points year-on-year [4] - The revenue from the environmental testing services segment was 490 million yuan, up 6% year-on-year, while the integrated circuit testing segment generated 160 million yuan, a growth of 21% year-on-year [3][4] - The company has adjusted its net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 to 2.8 billion yuan, 3.5 billion yuan, and 4.3 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 30, 24, and 19 [11]