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长源电力叫停800兆瓦光伏项目,新能源战略转向风电
3 6 Ke· 2025-12-09 03:20
Core Insights - The decision by the board of directors of China Energy Group's Changyuan Power to adjust the construction scale of three large photovoltaic projects in Hubei reflects a shift in the industry from "scale competition" to "efficiency survival" under the dual pressures of policy changes and overcapacity [1][5] - The adjustment involves a cumulative reduction of installed capacity by 800 megawatts, corresponding to an investment cut of nearly 4.7 billion yuan, due to the inability to complete certain capacities by the deadline of June 1, 2025 [1][2] Group 1: Policy Changes and Market Dynamics - The "Document 136" issued in February 2025 marks a turning point for the renewable energy sector, stipulating that after June 1, 2025, the grid-connected projects' electricity prices will be determined through market transactions, ending the era of subsidies and guaranteed purchases [2] - Changyuan Power's project adjustments are a direct response to this policy, as the remaining capacity that cannot be fully operational by the deadline will be exposed to market price fluctuations, significantly reducing investment certainty [2][5] Group 2: Industry Challenges - The contraction of Changyuan Power's projects highlights the severe realities faced by both the photovoltaic manufacturing and investment sectors, as the industry transitions from explosive growth to a state of serious overcapacity and price wars [3] - By mid-2025, China's cumulative installed photovoltaic capacity exceeded 1,000 gigawatts, while manufacturing capacity reached over 1,100 gigawatts, leading to a brutal price war where photovoltaic module prices fell below 0.6 yuan per watt, causing significant losses for many companies [3] Group 3: Shift in Investment Focus - In the context of shrinking photovoltaic investments, Changyuan Power has clearly shifted its strategic focus to wind power, indicating a re-evaluation of risk and return by state-owned power enterprises under current policy and market conditions [4] - Wind power projects currently face different market pressures compared to photovoltaic projects, often achieving higher trading prices due to better alignment with grid load characteristics, and have clearer land constraints, leading to higher project certainty [4] Group 4: Future Industry Path - The adjustments made by Changyuan Power reflect a broader transformation within the Chinese photovoltaic industry as it moves away from subsidies and fully integrates into the electricity market, undergoing necessary pain and evolution [5] - The decision-making logic within the industry is fundamentally changing, with a shift from aggressive scale expansion to refined efficiency calculations, emphasizing asset management capabilities and market negotiation skills [5]