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盈利连续改善 近八成投资者看涨2026年行情——上海证券报·个人投资者2026年第一季度调查报告
Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao· 2026-02-01 18:14
| 4). 4300点附近 | 16% | | --- | --- | | 5). 4400点附近 | 22% | | 6). 4500点及以上 | 10% | (感谢申万宏源证券、东北证券相关营业部对本调查的支持。上图为部分调查结果) □ 伴随着A股主要指数在2025年全线收红,近六成受访投资者实现盈利。其中,以人工智能为代表的核 心热点板块在2025年持续上涨,成为贡献投资收益的主要来源 □ 在无风险利率持续下行的背景下,随着股市赚钱效应不断增强,居民存款向权益资产"搬家"的现象在 2025年初现端倪 □ 近八成投资者看涨2026年股市,并且对春季行情充满期待。值得一提的是,投资者对今年上证综指波 动范围的预期"乐观但不激进",倾向于在指数稳健运行的背景下,把握结构性机会而非博弈指数大幅突 破 ◎记者 汪友若 投资收益连续两年上升 纵观2025年全年,主要宽基股指均在当年4月初触底后一路高歌猛进。上证综指从年内低位的3040.69点 起步,一度冲破4000点大关,全年涨幅接近20%,创下近六年来最佳年度表现;科技含量更高的创业板 指和科创综指全年涨幅更是接近50%。 市场行情的向好直接惠及广大投资者,近六 ...
春季行情向纵深演绎 机构判断市场风格或趋于均衡
Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao· 2026-02-01 18:14
券商策略展望报告显示:虽然临近春节长假,但A股市场交投活跃度依然处于较高水平,资金对高景气 板块的承接力强劲,预示春季行情仍有进一步演绎的空间;短期市场或呈结构性震荡,而随着春季行情 进入后半程,2月市场风格可能进一步向权重板块、价值风格切换。 春季行情继续向纵深演绎 上周,凯文·沃什获得美联储主席提名,国际贵金属价格剧烈波动,美股下跌,美元、美国长端利率上 行,全球风险资产普遍走弱。 周恒 制图 ◎记者 汪友若 上周,A股市场板块轮动速度加快,前期表现较好的部分计算机、新能源概念有所回调,以白酒、地产 为代表的前期滞涨资产则表现相对亮眼。此外,受国际贵金属价格在持续上涨后高位巨震影响,上周五 有色金属板块大幅回调。 "综合来看:一方面,年度业绩预告继续验证上市公司盈利改善趋势,本轮盈利修复值得期待;另一方 面,2月产业和宏观层面的密集催化,对于结构性机会的指引也值得期待。这些因素将推动春季行情继 续向纵深演绎。"兴业证券认为。 对此,华西证券分析认为,在外部扰动加剧的背景下,A股行情近期出现阶段性休整迹象,但中期视角 下本轮行情仍有充足空间和机会。从微观流动性来看,股票型ETF净流出调节交易节奏,但整体市场 ...
核心逻辑未变!关于A股和黄金走势 机构最新研判
Zhong Guo Zheng Quan Bao· 2026-02-01 14:46
Group 1: Market Overview - The A-share market is experiencing a weak and volatile trend, with significant fluctuations in precious metal prices impacting market sentiment [1] - Despite short-term volatility, the fundamentals of the precious metal sector have not reversed, and it is expected to enter a wide-ranging fluctuation phase [1][8] Group 2: Investment Recommendations - Institutions suggest focusing on sectors with lower price increases but strong logical support, including storage chips, embodied intelligence, AI edge computing, energy storage, and the lithium battery supply chain [1][6] - The core logic supporting the spring market remains unchanged, driven by favorable domestic fundamentals, policy support, and ample liquidity [5] Group 3: Economic Indicators - In January, the non-manufacturing business activity index was reported at 49.4%, a decrease of 0.8 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a decline in overall non-manufacturing sector activity [2] - However, the capital market services and financial services sectors reported business activity indices above 65%, indicating high market activity [2] Group 4: Sector-Specific Insights - The precious metals market has seen increased volatility, prompting banks to issue risk warnings and advise clients to manage positions carefully [3] - The energy storage and power equipment sectors present notable investment opportunities, driven by the significant demand for electricity from the AI industry [9] - The pharmaceutical industry is expected to continue its upgrade trend, driven by innovation and global competitiveness in drug development [10] Group 5: Strategic Investment Changes - The China Securities Regulatory Commission is seeking to expand the types of strategic investors for listed companies, including various institutional investors [4] - Institutions recommend paying attention to sectors highlighted in the "14th Five-Year Plan," such as commercial aerospace, 6G, nuclear power, hydrogen energy, quantum communication, and brain-computer interfaces [6]
板块轮动加速,2月风格切换正当时?丨每周研选
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-01 14:09
Core Viewpoint - The recent acceleration in sector rotation within the A-share market indicates a shift in investment strategies, with previously underperforming sectors like liquor and real estate gaining traction while high-performing sectors like technology and new energy are experiencing corrections [1][6]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - The recent ETF redemption wave has largely ended, signaling a potential recovery window for large-cap stocks as funds shift from small-cap to large-cap and from thematic to quality styles [1]. - The market is currently experiencing a structural adjustment, with high turnover rates leading to increased volatility, particularly in sectors like metals, which have seen significant trading volume [2][11]. - Despite short-term adjustments, the underlying fundamentals supporting the spring market rally remain intact, driven by domestic economic improvements and favorable policies [3][4]. Group 2: Sector Performance - The performance of cyclical sectors is strong, supported by a recovery in profit margins, as China's policy focus shifts from expansion to quality enhancement [1]. - The liquor and real estate sectors have shown notable performance, reflecting a convergence in market structure as the spring rally progresses into its latter stages [8]. - The AI sector continues to be a focal point for growth, with expectations of significant earnings improvements, while traditional sectors like chemicals and power equipment remain solid investment choices [7][9]. Group 3: Future Outlook - February is anticipated to continue the spring market rally, with structural opportunities emerging from macroeconomic catalysts and corporate earnings forecasts [2][4]. - The overall market sentiment remains optimistic, with expectations of a stable upward trajectory supported by robust liquidity and favorable seasonal trends [4][6]. - The A-share market is expected to maintain a balanced performance across various sectors, with an emphasis on both growth and value opportunities as the market evolves [8].
嘉泽新能:关于公司持股5%以上股东部分股份解除质押的公告
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Zhi Sheng· 2026-02-01 12:37
证券日报网讯 2月1日,嘉泽新能发布公告称,公司于2026年1月30日收到股东GLP Renewable Energy的 通知,GLP Renewable Energy 直接持有的本公司部分股份解除了质押。本次解除质押股份30,599,683 股。 (编辑 姚尧) ...
厨余垃圾变绿色燃料 真正实现“碳尽其用”
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-01 10:02
本文转自【央视新闻客户端】; 厨余垃圾产生的沼气,能不能直接变成驱动远洋巨轮的绿色燃料呢? 总台记者 王殿甲:我手里装的这瓶透明液体,就是本次绿色甲醇中试试验中取得的样品。经过第三方的检测,它的纯度高达99.99%。那么它的原料就来自 于上海厨余垃圾产生的沼气,凭借其成本优势,一旦大规模量产,就能够大幅提升绿色甲醇在船用燃料领域的占有率。 据了解,绿色甲醇因其易存储和运输的优势,已成为备受瞩目的航运替代燃料,但高昂的生产成本是其普及应用的主要障碍。 近日(1月26日),华东理工大学与多家单位联合攻关的沼气全碳定向转化制绿色甲醇项目,在产品正式投产前的中试试验中,产出了符合国际航运燃料标 准的绿色甲醇燃料。 目前,这一项目已经获得了ISCC的相关认证,ISCC是全球航运、化工等领域认可的主流绿色燃料认证标准,这意味着其产品具备走向国际航运绿色燃料市 场的通行资质。 在上海老港生态环保基地,这套全碳定向转化装置正将厨余垃圾厌氧发酵产生的沼气,经过加工转化成绿色甲醇。与以往只能利用沼气中的甲烷不同,这项 甲醇合成新工艺能真正实现"碳尽其用"。 华东理工大学讲席教授 陈德:这项技术的核心就是利用我手里这两款新型催化剂 ...
机构论后市丨A股进入传统做多窗口,节前板块轮动向上或是主基调
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2026-02-01 10:02
②信达证券:短期调整后2月仍积极,增量资金有望持续入场 信达证券研报分析称,市场短期震荡源于换手率冲高后的自然消化与有色金属成交占比达五年高位,但 春季行情逻辑未被破坏。2月为春季行情胜率最高月份,增量资金有望持续入场。险资增配、定存集中 到期重配、公募新发回暖、私募补仓及外资回流等多重资金面利好叠加,叠加1月信贷与通胀数据季节 性高点支撑经济预期,市场流动性环境仍偏宽松,具备继续上行基础。 风格上,小盘成长占优,高弹性主题与中期产业逻辑并重。2月通常为重主题、轻行业阶段,AI应用、 商业航天、机器人等高弹性成长方向在情绪休整后仍具催化空间;同时,半导体国产化、资源品价格弹 性、电力设备出海、化工建材通胀受益等中期产业逻辑清晰的方向,经估值消化后持续性更强,构成配 置主线。 ③银河证券:节前板块轮动向上或是主基调 银河证券研报认为,A股市场板块轮动速度加快,周内半导体、白酒、地产等板块阶段性走高,但行情 持续性仍显不足。经历近期持续上涨行情后,受国际贵金属价格高位回落影响,周五有色金属板块大幅 回调。沃什被提名美联储主席,外部市场受到显著冲击。但A股流动性支撑延续,临近春节长假,市场 交投活跃度依然处于较高水 ...
独家专访英国商贸大臣凯尔:中英已超越“黄金时代”模式,更务实、更有建设性
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2026-02-01 08:22
"以长远战略视角推进双边关系的新阶段" 凯尔表示,本届英国政府希望跳出原有范式,"与中国建立一种长期、稳定且全面的关系",为双方经贸 往来筑好基石。 凯尔向第一财经记者说,政府间建立伙伴关系能为商业创造机会,既为中国企业,同样也为英国企业。 2015年,时任英国首相卡梅伦率先提出了中英关系"黄金时代"的倡议,在特蕾莎·梅2016年接任英国首 相时,创立了中英企业家委员会,继续坚持了 "黄金时代"的大方向,中英关系保持持续发展的态势。 但此后唐宁街10号几易其主,"黄金时代"遭遇雨打风吹,这一阶段被斯塔默称为"冰河时代"。在访华前 夕,斯塔默曾公开批评前几任政府的"失职行为",对待中国不能"鸵鸟埋沙",不能忽视中国带来的经济 机遇。 虽然英国首相斯塔默是8年来首位访华的英国首相,但作为英国商业和贸易大臣的凯尔(Peter Kyle), 4个月之内已经来了两次中国。 凯尔向第一财经记者表示:"本届政府不仅派我多次来华,首相本人更是亲自到访,这充分展现了我们 对于切实拓展双向投资潜力的承诺。" 斯塔默在行前表示,希望摆脱保守党执政时期英中关系的"冰河时代",对此凯尔表示,"中国在国际关 系中发挥着非常重要的作用", ...
嘉泽新能:GLP Renewable Energy Investment I Limited持股比例已降至5.64%
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2026-02-01 08:20
南财智讯2月1日电,嘉泽新能公告,GLPRenewableEnergyInvestmentILimited于2026年1月28日至1月30 日期间通过大宗交易方式减持公司股份3602.31万股,占公司总股本的1.24%;其持股数量由20042.35万 股减少至16440.04万股,持股比例由6.88%减少至5.64%,本次权益变动已完成。 ...
大咖云集!AI+能源发展大会在京举办
Zhong Guo Neng Yuan Wang· 2026-02-01 08:05
0 中关村论坛 2020 ZBC FORUM 系列活动 RSEULET ActiVities Al+能源发展 Af+能源发展力会 AI + ENERGY DEVELOPMENT CONFERENC = == E n 4 H l - OR F = I 31日 2 卢朗 p P r and street t - A t t and p l 144 CAN DE LEASE Property and (5) Come CONCESS A MICH PHONE AND CCCCCC and Great AMILIAN AND AND SK 中方 2026 D 9 W.R 中关村论坛 2026 ZGC FORUM . � @ @ - # . d @ . . y ber . e @ . � . 1 www.bands.com and on and on and 中文的论坛 2026 ZGC FORUM Carl The Children . # r r if the L T t lef a gen . . # . . a .. 17 - 48 t A 4 . th ● # : 6400 4 / 6 . t - Call ...