Summary of Tigermed (3347.HK) Earnings Review and Industry Insights Company Overview - **Company**: Tigermed (3347.HK) - **Market Cap**: HK$37.3 billion / $4.8 billion - **Industry**: Clinical Research Organization (CRO) in China - **12-Month Price Target**: HK$62.10 for H-shares, Rmb77.10 for A-shares - **Current Price**: HK$43.12 for H-shares, Rmb53.54 for A-shares - **Upside Potential**: 44.0% for both share classes [1][1] Financial Performance - **3Q25 Revenue**: Rmb1.78 billion, up 3.9% year-over-year (y/y) and 5.3% quarter-over-quarter (q/q), exceeding Goldman Sachs' estimate of Rmb1.71 billion [1][1] - **Recurring Earnings**: Rmb115 million, slightly below the estimate of Rmb138 million, with an operating margin of 9.6% compared to the expected 10.9% [1][1] - **Net Profit**: Rmb637 million, a significant increase of 98.7% y/y, driven by investment income of Rmb207 million and fair value gains of Rmb413 million [1][1] - **Cash from Operations**: Rmb330 million in 3Q25, up from Rmb198 million in 1Q25 and Rmb210 million in 2Q25 [2][2] Industry Insights - **Growth Opportunities**: Management emphasized the structural growth potential in China's clinical CRO sector, aligning with global R&D standards. Increased business development (BD) activity and financing are expected to drive domestic clinical demand [2][2] - **New Orders**: As of September, net new orders grew at a mid-teens rate, totaling Rmb7 billion, with a notable increase in contributions from multinational corporations (MNCs) and domestic pharmaceutical clients [3][3] - **Clinical Trial Solutions (CTS)**: Revenue declined by 3% in 3Q, but gross margin remained soft at 23%. The decline was attributed to limited backlogs in domestic innovative drug projects and low new contract pricing [19][19] - **Clinical-Related Consulting Services (CRLS)**: Revenue rose 10% in 3Q, with gross margin at 31%. Strong order momentum from MNCs supported growth, although margins were diluted by increased overseas operations [20][20] Future Outlook - **Earnings Visibility**: The company is expected to benefit from accelerating new order intake in 4Q25 and improving earnings visibility for 2026-28, which is anticipated to drive share price momentum [1][1] - **Market Risks**: Potential risks include geopolitical tensions, continuing order impairments, and slower-than-expected global expansion [21][21] Key Financial Ratios and Estimates - **P/E Ratio**: Expected to decrease from 62.3 in 2024 to 21.7 by 2027 [11][11] - **EPS Growth**: Projected to increase significantly in 2025 by 239.6% [11][11] - **Dividend Yield**: Expected to rise from 1.0% in 2025 to 1.4% by 2027 [11][11] Conclusion Tigermed is positioned to capitalize on the recovery in the clinical CRO sector, with strong financial performance in 3Q25 and a positive outlook for new orders and earnings growth. The company remains a buy recommendation based on its growth potential and market positioning.

RatingDog解读：最近制造业景气改善，关键在于新订单的加速增长。需求基本面改善、企业致力促销、新品发布，共同推动最近新业务总量的增长，并且创下2月份后最高增速。同时，新出口订单量也在3月后首次录得增长，虽然增速仅算轻微。新接业务量上升，带动制造业产量录得3个月来最快增速。调查样本企业表示，金属和肉类价格走高，导致整体费用上升。当月投入成本涨幅为10个月来最高，但仍低于长期均值。虽然新业务和经营活动稳健增长，但9月份仍然延续用工收缩。据反映，在人员离职和企业裁员背景下， 当月用工录 得2024年4月后最急剧收缩率。综合PMI创下2024年6月后最强劲增速。 ...