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中银国际:铀价年初至今表现强势 维持对行业乐观看法
智通财经网· 2026-01-16 03:21
Group 1 - The core view of the report is optimistic about the uranium industry due to upcoming contracts and a long-term supply-demand gap, with catalysts including proactive government policies and new reactor approvals in the US and China [1] - The spot uranium price has increased by $2 to $83.5 per pound, and a major uranium ETF has risen by 22% year-to-date [1][4] - The preferred stock remains Kazatomprom, which has attractive valuations and high exposure to uranium prices, while Cameco's priority has been raised to the same level as CGN Mining due to the potential for its US assets to restart at prices above market [1] Group 2 - The White House has announced efforts to address the US's reliance on imported critical materials, specifically mentioning uranium as a key material in the energy sector [2] - President Trump has initiated negotiations with trade partners to reduce dependence on imported critical materials and is considering a "minimum import price" policy if negotiations do not meet government goals [2] - If a similar policy is applied to uranium, it could encourage US producers like Cameco to restart suspended mines and explore new ones, benefiting those with US assets [2] Group 3 - Cameco has suspended operations at its US mines since Q2 2016, with expected annual maintenance costs of $14-15 million for these assets in 2025 [3] - Historically, these projects have produced approximately 35 million pounds of uranium, and the government price floor mechanism could lead to the restart of these assets, which would be positive for Cameco's uranium portfolio [3] Group 4 - The strong performance of spot uranium prices has continued into 2025, with a monthly increase of nearly $2 per pound, reaching $83.50 per pound [4] - The Sprott Physical Uranium Trust (SPUT) has raised $103 million year-to-date and purchased 650,000 pounds of uranium, showing strong investor sentiment towards the uranium sector [4] - SPUT has traded above its net asset value for four consecutive days, indicating improved investor sentiment that may persist in the coming months [4]