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午前盘中跳水,发生了什么?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-26 07:42
Core Viewpoint - The market shows potential for a mid-term strengthening, with short-term bullish advantages evident. The key focus is on whether the index can break through 3988, which would open the possibility for further gains towards 4034. Maintaining above 3920 is crucial as a bottom line [1][4][13]. Market Performance - The market opened lower at 3957, reached a high of 3977, and closed at 3963. The ratio of advancing to declining stocks was 1866 to 3414, indicating more declines than advances. The market exhibited disorganization, with no clear intention to break 3988, and a midday drop was attributed to technical requirements [2][16]. - The closing result was above 3960, which is acceptable but not ideal. The market has shown a rare eight consecutive days of gains, increasing the likelihood of 3815 being a significant low point [3][16]. Technical Analysis - The market needs to stabilize above 3936 to confirm the importance of 3815 as a low point. A breakthrough at 3988 is necessary for further advances towards 4034 [4][13]. - The daily key areas for the market are between 3924 and 3901, with strength indicated above 3977. The index is currently above the upper boundary, suggesting a strong position [7][17]. Short-term Strategy - The focus for the upcoming week is to prevent the formation of a short-term high point. The market should remain above 3960, with 3936 as a critical support level that should not be breached [4][13]. - The short-term technical indicators suggest that the market is currently in a position that could lead to further upward movement, but adjustments may be necessary [12][17]. Long-term Outlook - The long-term market outlook indicates that December may continue to show bearish trends or small candlestick formations. The potential for a month-long adjustment period exists, with a likelihood of oscillation rather than a one-sided decline [6][18].