有机增速
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3Q25集团有机增速恢复正增长,客流提升贡献增量
Haitong Securities International· 2025-10-16 15:38
Group 1: Financial Performance - LVMH reported approximately €58 billion in revenue for the first three quarters of 2025, reflecting a 2% year-on-year decline in organic growth[1] - In Q3 2025, organic growth turned positive at 1%, recovering from a -3% decline in the first half of the year[2] - The Fashion & Leather Goods division saw an organic growth of -2%, an improvement from -9% in Q2 2025[3] Group 2: Market Trends - The China market achieved mid-to-high single-digit growth in Q3 2025, outperforming the overall group average[4] - Local consumption in the US and Middle East recovered, primarily driven by increased traffic rather than price adjustments[5] - Europe remained the only major region with negative growth in Q3 due to weaker tourism and currency effects[6] Group 3: Segment Performance - Perfumes & Cosmetics and Watches & Jewelry both recorded a 2% growth, supported by product innovations and strong performance from Tiffany[7] - Selective Retailing grew by 7%, benefiting from increased traffic and average transaction size at Sephora[8] - The Wines & Spirits segment returned to positive growth at 1%, aided by champagne restocking[9] Group 4: Future Outlook - Management anticipates that Q4 2025 performance will be under pressure due to a high base, particularly in Asia, Europe, and the US[10] - Improvement is expected in 2026 as the effects of creative transitions and store renovations begin to reflect in sales performance[11]