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国博电子(688375):阶段性承压 新品量产开启第二成长曲线
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-10-31 12:31
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in revenue and net profit for the first three quarters of 2025, indicating pressure on performance due to reduced income from T/R components and RF modules [1][2]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 1.569 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 13.51% [1]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 247 million yuan, down 19.35% year-on-year, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items was 243 million yuan, a decrease of 18.93% [1]. - In Q3 2025, revenue was 500 million yuan, a decline of 2.5% year-on-year, with net profit of 46 million yuan, down 26.0% year-on-year [2]. - The gross margin for Q3 2025 decreased by 3.6 percentage points to 36.0%, and the net margin fell by 2.9 percentage points to 9.2% [2]. Credit Impairment Losses - The company reported credit impairment losses of 51.94 million yuan for the first three quarters, an increase of 65 million yuan compared to the same period last year, impacting current profits [2]. Product Development - The company has achieved mass production of over 1 million silicon-based gallium nitride power amplifier chips, addressing challenges related to lattice defect ratios in materials [2]. - The new product is expected to replace traditional gallium arsenide power amplifiers and promote applications across all frequency bands and scenarios in the terminal RF power amplifier field, representing a second growth curve for the company [2]. Cash Flow and Working Capital - As of the end of Q3 2025, accounts receivable increased by 8.9% to 3.56 billion yuan, and inventory rose by 39.0% compared to the end of Q2 2025 [3]. - The net cash flow from operating activities for the first three quarters was -35 million yuan, compared to 147 million yuan in the same period last year, indicating a need for improvement [3]. Investment Outlook - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 513 million yuan, 702 million yuan, and 898 million yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, with growth rates of 5.87%, 36.77%, and 27.96% respectively [4]. - Given the company's leading position in active phased array T/R components and RF modules, along with long-term growth potential in commercial aerospace and semiconductor industries, a 12-month target price of 82.42 yuan is set, maintaining a buy-A investment rating [4].