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马斯克:三年内特斯拉Optimus人形机器人将超越顶尖人类外科医生
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-11 16:33
Core Viewpoint - Elon Musk believes that the global shortage of skilled doctors, particularly surgeons, can be addressed by advanced robotics, specifically the Optimus robot, which he predicts will surpass top human surgeons in three years and achieve large-scale application by then [3][4]. Group 1: Robotics in Surgery - Musk stated that training a skilled surgeon is a lengthy process, and even after training, the continuous evolution of medical knowledge makes it difficult for doctors to be comprehensive [3]. - He anticipates that the number of Optimus robots with top surgical skills could exceed the total number of human surgeons globally within three years [3]. - A health policy expert criticized Musk's optimism, arguing that the development of robotic surgery has been slow and that it is unrealistic for robots to surpass human surgeons in all fields within three years [5][9]. Group 2: Expert Opinions on Robotic Surgery - Arthur Kaplan, a bioethicist, expressed skepticism about Musk's claim, stating that the progress in robotic surgery has been gradual, with significant challenges remaining in various surgical fields [5][6]. - Kaplan highlighted that certain surgeries, such as plastic surgery and trauma treatment, are akin to artistic creation, making them difficult to program for robots [6]. - While acknowledging the transformative potential of robotics in healthcare, Kaplan emphasized that the widespread application of robotic surgeons is still a long way off [7][9]. Group 3: Broader Implications of Robotics - The discussion around the deployment of humanoid robots has raised public concerns, particularly regarding Musk's vision of creating a "robot army" [9]. - Musk's desire to maintain control over the development of these robots stems from fears of losing influence over a potentially powerful technology [9].