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中国核电(601985):Q3业绩低于预期在建机组保障中长期成长性
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2025-11-04 06:20
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - Q3 performance was below expectations, but the ongoing construction of nuclear units supports long-term growth potential [5] - The company reported Q3 2025 revenue of 20.662 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.72%, while net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 23.5% [7] - The decline in profitability is attributed to lower electricity prices and increased tax burdens, impacting both nuclear and renewable energy segments [7] - The company is actively promoting the multi-purpose use of nuclear energy, with significant projects underway that could enhance future profitability [7] - There are 19 units under construction or awaiting approval, with a total capacity of approximately 22 GW, which is expected to contribute to stable long-term growth [7] Financial Summary - Revenue projections for 2023 to 2027 are as follows: 74.957 billion yuan (2023), 77.272 billion yuan (2024), 82.075 billion yuan (2025E), 86.317 billion yuan (2026E), and 97.042 billion yuan (2027E) [6] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 10.624 billion yuan (2023), 8.777 billion yuan (2024), 9.189 billion yuan (2025E), 9.282 billion yuan (2026E), and 10.222 billion yuan (2027E) [6] - The company’s P/E ratios for 2025 to 2027 are projected to be 21, 20.78, and 18.87 respectively [6] - The expected dividend yield for 2024 to 2027 is around 2% to 2.2% [7]