欧洲政治两极化
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荷兰中间派政党有望成为第一大党:我们向全世界证明战胜民粹极右并非不可能
Guan Cha Zhe Wang· 2025-10-30 14:40
Core Points - The recent Dutch elections have resulted in a significant shift in political power, with the D66 party led by Rob Jetten expected to gain 26 seats, while the Freedom Party led by Geert Wilders is projected to lose 11 seats [1][3][4] - The election reflects a broader trend in European politics, where voters are increasingly polarized on issues such as immigration, housing, and security [6][9][10] - The D66 party's victory is seen as a rejection of populism and far-right politics, with Jetten positioning himself as a counter to Wilders [3][6][8] Election Results - D66 is projected to gain 17 seats compared to the previous election, while the Freedom Party is expected to decrease from 36 to 25 seats [1][3] - The D66 party's rise marks its first time potentially becoming the largest party in the Netherlands after 59 years of existence [6][9] - The election results indicate that no party has achieved an absolute majority, necessitating coalition negotiations among at least four parties [3][4] Political Implications - The election outcome may lead to a prolonged period of coalition negotiations, which could create political uncertainty and impact investor confidence in the Netherlands [10] - The refusal of mainstream parties to collaborate with the Freedom Party suggests a significant shift in the political landscape, potentially affecting EU immigration policies and transatlantic relations [10] - The performance of the left-wing Green-Left alliance is disappointing, with expectations of losing five seats, indicating a shift in voter sentiment towards more centrist or right-leaning parties [9]