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鸿远电子(603267):24年业绩承压 25年一季度需求呈回暖态势
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-05-09 04:31
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in revenue and net profit for 2024, primarily due to weakened downstream demand and price reductions for its core product, MLCC [2][6]. Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 466 million yuan, an increase of 8.67%, while net profit was 60 million yuan, down 16.89% [1][2]. - For the year 2024, the company reported revenue of 1.492 billion yuan, a decrease of 10.98%, and net profit of 154 million yuan, down 43.55% [1][2]. - The gross margin for Q1 2025 was 41.86%, up 0.30 percentage points, while the net margin was 12.91%, down 3.97 percentage points [1][2]. Business Segments - The company operates in two main segments: primary production and agency business, focusing on high-reliability electronic components such as MLCCs, filters, microcontrollers, and integrated circuits [1][2]. - The agency business primarily represents well-known international and domestic electronic component manufacturers, targeting markets like renewable energy and automotive electronics [1]. Market Dynamics - The demand for MLCCs is expected to grow due to their extensive applications in military equipment, with the market for MLCCs accounting for over 90% of the ceramic capacitor market [5]. - The company is positioned to benefit from the "compensatory" deployment of military equipment, which is anticipated to lead to a recovery in demand [6]. Cost and Expense Management - The company's operating expenses increased, with the three expense ratios rising to 14.38%, driven by new business expansion and adjustments in performance bonuses for sales personnel [3]. - The gross margin declined in 2024 to 34.29%, down 6.23 percentage points, influenced by price reductions in MLCCs and a higher proportion of lower-margin products [2][3]. Inventory and Cash Flow - The company's inventory decreased to 797 million yuan, a reduction of 1.91% from 2023, with a significant drop in agency business inventory by 28.79% [4]. - Cash flow from investment activities showed a net outflow of 485 million yuan, a decline of 147.95%, primarily due to increased bank deposits [4]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to see revenue growth from 2025 to 2027, with projected revenues of 2.012 billion yuan, 2.519 billion yuan, and 3.090 billion yuan, respectively [6]. - Net profit forecasts for the same period are 281 million yuan, 407 million yuan, and 533 million yuan, with corresponding EPS estimates of 1.22 yuan, 1.76 yuan, and 2.31 yuan [6].