国防军工行业 行业研究 | 行业周报 亚太局势不确定性加剧，我国装备建设或 将提速，关注新质战斗力 核心观点 投资建议与投资标的 风险提示：军品订单和收入确认不及预期；研发进度及产业化不及预期；竞争格局及份 额波动风险；产品价格下降风险等。 国家/地区 中国 行业 国防军工行业 报告发布日期 2025 年 11 月 24 日 看好（维持） | 罗楠 | 执业证书编号：S0860518100001 | | --- | --- | | | luonan@orientsec.com.cn | | | 021-63326320 | | 冯函 | 执业证书编号：S0860520070002 | | | fenghan@orientsec.com.cn | | | 021-63326320 | | 鲍丙文 | 执业证书编号：S0860124070016 | | --- | --- | | | baobingwen@orientsec.com.cn | | | 021-63326320 | | 无人僚机攻击-11 公开亮相，朱雀三号可回 | 2025-11-16 | | --- | --- | | 收火箭即将首飞，关注新质 ...

（原标题：万丰奥威目标价涨幅近90%；太阳能等7家公司评级被调低｜券商评级观察） 评级调高方面，11月17日至11月23日，券商调高上市公司评级达到3家次，最新数据包括了财信证券对 华东重机的评级从"持有"调高至"增持"，华泰证券对中国石化的评级从"增持"调高至"买入"，中信证券 对鸿远电子的评级从"增持"调高至"买入"。 评级调低方面，11月17日至11月23日，券商调低上市公司评级达到7家次，最新数据包括了华创证券对 太阳能的评级从"强推"调低至"推荐"，西部证券对源杰科技的评级从"买入"调低至"增持"，华创证券对 泰坦科技的评级从"强推"调低至"推荐"。 首次覆盖方面，11月17日至11月23日券商共给出了77次首次覆盖，其中德力佳获得国信证券给予"优于 大市"评级，圆通速递、延江股份获得中泰证券分别给予"增持""买入"评级，远东股份获得天风证券给 予"买入"评级，蓝思科技获得华金证券给予"买入"评级。 免责声明：文中涉及的观点、数据、个股等要素仅供参考，不构成投资建议，操作风险自担，投资有风 险，入市需谨慎。 南财投研通数据显示，11月17日至11月23日，券商给予上市公司目标价共118次，按最新收盘 ...

Core Viewpoint - On November 17, a total of 13 target price adjustments were made by brokerages for listed companies, with notable increases in target prices for Kangguan Technology, Kede CNC, and Honglu Steel Structure, showing target price increases of 44.60%, 43.03%, and 37.73% respectively, across the optical optoelectronics, general equipment, and professional engineering industries [1][3]. Group 1: Target Price Increases - Kangguan Technology received a target price of 32.00 yuan with a target price increase of 44.60% [3] - Kede CNC was assigned a target price of 86.95 yuan, reflecting a 43.03% increase [3] - Honglu Steel Structure has a target price of 24.42 yuan, indicating a 37.73% increase [3] - Other companies with significant target price increases include Zhongxin International with a target price of 159.30 yuan (35.42% increase) and Sinopec with a target price of 7.60 yuan (31.49% increase) [3] Group 2: Brokerage Recommendations - A total of 51 listed companies received brokerage recommendations on November 17, with Aotewei and Kede CNC each receiving 2 recommendations [4][5] - Aotewei's closing price was 42.55 yuan, while Kede CNC's closing price was 60.79 yuan [5] Group 3: Rating Adjustments - On November 17, brokerages raised ratings for 2 companies, including Sinopec's rating upgraded from "Hold" to "Buy" by Huatai Securities, and Hongyuan Electronics' rating upgraded from "Hold" to "Buy" by CITIC Securities [4] - One company, Honglu Steel Structure, had its rating downgraded from "Strong Buy" to "Recommended" by Huachuang Securities [4] Group 4: First Coverage - On November 17, brokerages initiated coverage on 7 companies, including Wan Energy Power with an "Accumulate" rating from China Merchants Securities, and Hengyin Technology with an "Accumulate" rating from Zhongyou Securities [7][8] - Other companies receiving first coverage include Jinlei Co. with a "Buy" rating, Zhaoyan Pharmaceutical with an "Accumulate" rating, and Weisheng Information with a "Recommended" rating [8]

Core Insights - On November 17, 2023, brokerage firms provided target prices for listed companies, with notable increases for Kangguan Technology, Kede CNC, and Honglu Steel Structure, showing target price increases of 44.60%, 43.03%, and 37.73% respectively [1][3] Group 1: Target Price Increases - Kangguan Technology received a target price of 32.00 yuan, reflecting a 44.60% increase [3] - Kede CNC's target price is set at 86.95 yuan, indicating a 43.03% increase [3] - Honglu Steel Structure has a target price of 24.42 yuan, with a 37.73% increase [3] Group 2: Brokerage Recommendations - A total of 51 listed companies received brokerage recommendations on November 17, with Aotewei and Kede CNC each receiving 2 recommendations [4][5] - Aotewei's closing price was 42.55 yuan, while Kede CNC's closing price was 60.79 yuan [5] Group 3: Rating Adjustments - Two companies had their ratings upgraded on November 17, including China Petroleum, which was upgraded from "Hold" to "Buy" by Huatai Securities, and Hongyuan Electronics, upgraded from "Hold" to "Buy" by CITIC Securities [4] - One company, Honglu Steel Structure, had its rating downgraded from "Strong Buy" to "Recommended" by Huachuang Securities [4] Group 4: First Coverage - Seven companies received initial coverage on November 17, including Waneng Power with an "Accumulate" rating from China Merchants Securities, and Hengyin Technology with an "Accumulate" rating from Zhongyou Securities [7][8] - Other companies receiving first coverage include Jinlei Co., Ltd. with a "Buy" rating, Zhaoyan Pharmaceutical with an "Accumulate" rating, and Weisheng Information with a "Recommended" rating [7][8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook on the defense and military industry, indicating a turning point in profitability and growth potential [6][4]. Core Insights - The military industry is expected to enter a new growth cycle driven by the initiation of the "14th Five-Year Plan" equipment construction, military trade, and commercial aerospace advancements [2][3]. - The overall revenue for the military sector increased by 3.07% year-on-year in the first three quarters of 2025, while net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 9.89%, showing a narrowing decline compared to the previous year [6][11]. - Key segments such as components, sub-systems, and assembly levels have shown signs of recovery, with revenue growth turning positive for the first time since 2021 [18][25]. Summary by Sections 1. Performance Analysis - In Q3 2025, revenue growth rates for components, sub-systems, and assembly levels were 8.30%, 3.37%, and 1.16% respectively, marking a positive shift from negative growth in 2024 [18][19]. - The net profit for the components level increased by 6.94% year-on-year, while sub-systems and assembly levels saw declines of 28.98% and 19.48% respectively [18][23]. 2. Cash Flow Improvement - The cash flow from operations for sub-systems and assembly levels improved, while components faced temporary pressure [40][42]. - The sales collection ratio for assembly levels rose significantly by 23.23 percentage points to 92.50% in Q3 2025, indicating better cash flow management [40][41]. 3. Prepayments and Inventory - Prepayments (including contract liabilities) across all levels showed an upward trend, with assembly levels increasing by 21.85% to 63.345 billion yuan [48][49]. - Inventory levels for components, sub-systems, and assembly increased by 12.57%, 8.81%, and 19.82% respectively, suggesting a positive outlook for future performance [53][54]. 4. Segment Performance - The weaponry segment led revenue growth with a remarkable 27.52% increase, while the aerospace segment grew by 6.17% and the information technology segment by 5.37% [35][36]. - The information technology segment achieved a net profit growth rate of 136.38%, indicating strong performance and future growth potential [36][39].

Core Viewpoint - Hongyuan Electronics experienced a decline in stock price, with a year-to-date increase of 31.12% but a recent drop of 2.98% over the last five trading days [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - As of November 12, Hongyuan Electronics' stock price was 47.15 yuan per share, with a market capitalization of 10.895 billion yuan [1] - The stock has seen a net outflow of 12.2846 million yuan in principal funds, with significant selling activity [1] - Year-to-date, the stock has risen by 31.12%, but it has decreased by 2.98% in the last five trading days, 17.71% in the last 20 days, and 18.44% in the last 60 days [1] Group 2: Company Overview - Hongyuan Electronics, established on December 6, 2001, and listed on May 15, 2019, is located in Beijing's Daxing District [1] - The company specializes in the research, production, and sales of electronic components, primarily ceramic capacitors and filters, with 99.63% of revenue coming from electronic components [1] Group 3: Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Hongyuan Electronics reported revenue of 1.427 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 22.27%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 222 million yuan, up 74.56% year-on-year [2] - The company has distributed a total of 489 million yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 229 million yuan distributed in the last three years [3] Group 4: Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders decreased by 16.12% to 27,800, while the average number of tradable shares per person increased by 19.22% to 8,299 shares [2] - Notable shareholders include Changxin National Defense Military Industry Quantitative Mixed Fund, which is the fourth-largest shareholder, and Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, which increased its holdings by 1.9518 million shares [3]

Core Viewpoint - Hongyuan Electronics reported that its production and operations are normal and orderly, with an increase in capacity utilization rate compared to the same period last year before the third quarter of 2025 [1] Group 1 - The company has been repurchasing its shares through centralized bidding for four consecutive years from 2021 to 2024 [1] - The total amount of funds used for share repurchase has reached 112.0358 million yuan, excluding transaction commissions and other trading costs [1]

Core Viewpoint - Hongyuan Electronics (603267) has shown a significant increase in financing activities, with a net financing purchase of 340.07 million yuan on November 4, 2025, indicating strong investor interest in the stock [1]. Financing Activities - On November 4, 2025, the financing buy-in was 35.27 million yuan, while financing repayment was 31.87 million yuan, resulting in a net financing purchase of 340.07 million yuan [1]. - The financing balance reached 409 million yuan, with a total of 86.85 million yuan net bought over the last three trading days [1]. - In the last 20 trading days, there were 12 days with net financing purchases, reflecting a positive trend in investor sentiment [1]. Margin Trading - On the same day, there were no shares sold short, but 3,500 shares were repaid, leading to a net short purchase of 3,500 shares, with a remaining short balance of 44,800 shares [2]. - Over the last 20 trading days, there were 14 days with net short sales, indicating a bearish sentiment among some investors [2]. Margin Balance - The total margin balance was 411 million yuan on November 4, 2025, which increased by 0.78% from the previous day [4]. - The margin balance had seen significant fluctuations, with a peak increase of 15.92% on October 31, 2025 [4]. Investor Participation - Individual investors participating in margin trading must meet two conditions: at least six months of trading experience and an average account asset of 500,000 yuan over the previous 20 trading days [5]. - The number of margin trading stocks has been expanded, with the Shanghai Stock Exchange increasing the number from 800 to 1,000 and the Shenzhen Stock Exchange from 800 to 1,200 for non-registration stocks [5].

Core Viewpoint - The company, Hongyuan Electronics, stated that its production and operations are normal and orderly, with stock price fluctuations influenced by macroeconomic conditions, industry trends, and market sentiment [1] Group 1: Company Operations - The company is focused on its main business and is committed to solid management practices to enhance performance and boost investor confidence [1]

Core Insights - Hongyuan Electronics has a diverse application of self-produced capacitors in high-reliability fields such as aerospace, aviation, electronic information, weapons, and shipping, as well as in civil high-end sectors like communications, industrial, medical electronics, automotive electronics, and rail transit [2] - The company is focused on closely monitoring industry demand and aligning with national policy directions to continuously expand its market in relevant fields [2] - The company's agency business for electronic components is widely applied in sectors such as new energy, automotive electronics, rail transit, smart grids, communications, consumer electronics, medical equipment, industrial/AI, and the Internet of Things, with an active expansion into AI-related customer bases [2]