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期指:延续震荡,关注今日LPR-20250620
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2025-06-20 01:51
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information about the report industry investment rating is provided in the content. 2. Core Viewpoints - On June 19, all four major index futures contracts for the current month declined. IF dropped by 0.8%, IH by 0.63%, IC by 1.03%, and IM by 1.16% [1]. - On the trading day, the total trading volume of index futures rebounded, indicating an increase in investors' trading enthusiasm. Specifically, the total trading volume of IF, IH, IC, and IM increased by 11,841, 8,507, 16,933, and 40,215 lots respectively. In terms of positions, the total positions of IF, IH, IC, and IM increased by 4,729, 2,290, 8,682, and 14,528 lots respectively [1][2]. - The trend intensity of IF and IH is 1, and that of IC and IM is also 1. The range of trend intensity is an integer within the [-2, 2] interval [6]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Index Futures Data Tracking - **Closing Prices and Fluctuations**: The closing prices of various index futures contracts declined. For example, the closing price of the CSI 300 was 3,843.09, down 0.82%; IF2506 closed at 3,840.4, down 0.80% [1]. - **Basis**: The basis of different contracts varies. For instance, the basis of IF2506 was -2.69, and that of IH2506 was -6.32 [1]. - **Trading Volume and Turnover**: The trading volume and turnover of each contract also showed different trends. For example, the trading volume of IF2506 was 43,781 lots, with a decrease of 8,584 lots, and the turnover was 50.57 billion [1]. 3.2 Positions of the Top 20 Members - The top 20 members' long and short positions in different index futures contracts changed. For example, in IF2506, the long - position change was -10,890, and the short - position change was -11,117 [5]. 3.3 Important Driving Factors - The US may intervene in the Israel - Iran conflict, leading to a decline in US stock futures and European stocks, and a more than 3% increase in crude oil prices during trading. The Nasdaq 100 futures fell by more than 1%, and the pan - European stock index hit a new low in more than a month [6]. - The Chinese Ministry of Commerce stated that it will continuously accelerate the review of rare - earth related export license applications in accordance with laws and regulations [6]. - The A - share market declined, with the ChiNext Index falling by more than 1%. More than 4,600 stocks in the market declined, and the trading volume reached 1.28 trillion yuan, compared with 1.22 trillion yuan the previous day [7].