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四大航业绩预告:南航、海航扭亏,国航、东航预亏
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-31 14:56
Core Viewpoint - The performance forecast of the four major Chinese airlines shows significant divergence, with China Southern Airlines and Hainan Airlines expected to report profits, while Air China and China Eastern Airlines anticipate losses [1][2]. Group 1: Company Performance Forecasts - Air China is expected to report a net loss of 1.3 billion to 1.9 billion yuan [1]. - China Southern Airlines anticipates a net profit of 800 million to 1 billion yuan, benefiting from its logistics assets and proactive market strategies [1]. - Hainan Airlines forecasts a net profit of 1.8 billion to 2.2 billion yuan, attributing its success to operational adjustments and the positive impact of the Hainan Free Trade Port [1]. - China Eastern Airlines expects a net loss of 1.3 billion to 1.8 billion yuan, although this loss is projected to narrow compared to the previous year [2]. Group 2: Operational Metrics and Industry Growth - In 2025, China's civil aviation industry is projected to achieve record-high transportation metrics, with a total turnover of 1,640.8 billion ton-kilometers and passenger transport volume of 770 million, reflecting year-on-year growth of 10.5% and 5.5% respectively [3]. - The comprehensive passenger load factor for the four airlines exceeded 80%, with China Southern Airlines at 85.74% and China Eastern Airlines at 85.86% [3]. - The Civil Aviation Administration of China forecasts continued growth in 2026, with expected transportation turnover of 1,750 billion ton-kilometers and passenger transport volume of 810 million [3].