Group 1 - Cement stocks have experienced a significant decline, with major companies like Jinyu Group down 5.49%, Western Cement down 4.12%, and Conch Cement down 3.92% as of the report [1] - The third quarter is traditionally a slow season for the cement industry, with expectations of fluctuating prices in 2025, where the average cement price in Q3 2025 is projected to be 353.1 yuan/ton, a decrease of 27.6 yuan/ton quarter-on-quarter and 33.5% year-on-year [1] - Cement production in July and August saw year-on-year declines of 5.5% and 7.0%, respectively, indicating pressure on overall profitability for the cement industry in Q3 [1] Group 2 - Demand is expected to continue growing during the "Golden September and Silver October" period, but the increase is anticipated to be limited due to weak terminal market conditions [2] - The upcoming winter is expected to bring extended periods of staggered kiln shutdowns, which, combined with marginal improvements in demand, may lead cement companies to actively raise prices [2] - Rising coal prices are expected to further support cement prices, and the acceleration of "anti-involution" measures is likely to optimize industry supply, easing supply-demand conflicts and potentially restoring profitability for regional leading enterprises [2]