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涨停潮背后,电网设备的超级周期正在来临
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-11-06 23:47
Core Insights - The integration of hydropower, wind, and solar energy in the Yarlung Tsangpo River basin represents a successful model for the future of the industry, emphasizing the need for a reevaluation of the value of grid infrastructure as a strategic asset [1] - The electric grid equipment sector is transforming into a new focal point for capital markets, driven by energy security strategies and the global AI computing power wave [1][2] - The China Electric Grid Equipment Theme Index has seen a significant increase of 44% since July, with several stocks doubling in value, indicating strong market interest [2] Industry Developments - The construction of the first integrated hydropower and wind-solar base in China marks a new phase for a project with a total installed capacity of 2.7 million kilowatts [1] - The electric grid equipment sector is positioned at the intersection of "Manufacturing China," "Green China," and "Digital China," benefiting from national policy support and global energy transition opportunities [2] - The investment in electric grid infrastructure is expected to reach a historical high of over 825 billion yuan by 2025, indicating a strong commitment to enhancing the sector [16] Market Performance - The electric grid equipment ETF (159326) has experienced a tenfold increase in scale, from less than 100 million yuan at the end of September to 1.161 billion yuan by November 5, reflecting robust investor interest [2][18] - The electric grid equipment theme index has outperformed major indices, with returns of 34.86% over the past three years and 165.02% since 2019, showcasing its resilience and growth potential [20] Technological Innovations - The introduction of advanced storage systems and smart scheduling technologies has significantly improved grid efficiency and reduced energy wastage, addressing the historical "three abandonments" issue [8][9] - The development of a comprehensive ultra-high voltage network has enabled rapid transmission of electricity across vast distances, enhancing the overall efficiency of the energy system [5] Global Context - The global demand for electricity is expected to surge, driven by the exponential growth of AI computing power, with projections indicating that AI could account for 3% to 4% of global electricity demand by 2030 [12] - China's electric grid equipment industry is poised for significant international opportunities, with exports of power equipment reaching 22.246 billion yuan in early 2024, marking a 28.73% increase year-on-year [13]