中泰证券（600918）发布研报称，Q3航空板块油汇利好下成本下降，南航、东航归母净利润略超预 期。该行指出，航企有较多外币负债且多以美元负债为主，若人民币汇率走弱，可能会使航企产生较大 金额的汇兑损益，从而影响当期利润；航油成本是航空公司的大项成本之一，油价大幅上升将增加航司 的燃油成本，进而影响经营业绩。 消息面上，11月25日，人民币汇率刷新逾1年来高位，在岸、离岸人民币对美元汇率双双收复7.09关 口。业内认为，后续美元指数上行空间有限，人民币走势则将稳中偏强。此外，俄乌停战预期上升，油 价走弱。 航空股涨幅居前，截至发稿，东方航空(00670)涨5.1%，报4.53港元；中国国航（601111）(00753)涨 4.52%，报6.47港元；南方航空（600029）(01055)涨3.36%，报5.22港元。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The aviation sector is experiencing significant stock price increases, driven by favorable currency exchange rates and oil price trends [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Eastern Airlines (00670) rose by 5.1%, trading at HKD 4.53 [1] - Air China (00753) increased by 4.52%, reaching HKD 6.47 [1] - Southern Airlines (01055) saw a rise of 3.36%, priced at HKD 5.22 [1] Group 2: Currency and Oil Price Impact - On November 25, the RMB exchange rate hit a new high in over a year, with both onshore and offshore RMB against the USD recovering above 7.09 [1] - Industry experts believe that the upward potential for the USD index is limited, while the RMB is expected to remain stable and slightly strong [1] - Expectations of a ceasefire in the Russia-Ukraine conflict have led to weaker oil prices [1] Group 3: Financial Analysis - According to a report from Zhongtai Securities, the Q3 aviation sector benefited from lower oil and exchange costs, with Southern Airlines and Eastern Airlines' net profits slightly exceeding expectations [1] - The report highlights that airlines have significant foreign currency liabilities, primarily in USD, and a weaker RMB could lead to substantial exchange losses, impacting current profits [1] - Fuel costs are a major expense for airlines, and a significant rise in oil prices would increase fuel costs, thereby affecting operational performance [1]