海上油服景气
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中海油服(601808):业绩符合预期,海上油服景气维持高位
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-10-30 10:49
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [6] Core Views - The company's performance in the first three quarters of 2025 met expectations, with total revenue of 34.854 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.5%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 3.209 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 31.3% [6] - The offshore oil service industry remains at a high level of prosperity, with the company's drilling platform operating days reaching 14,784 days, a year-on-year increase of 12.3% [6] - The company is focusing on enhancing its core technology system driven by fundamental research, which is expected to lead to stable growth in its oilfield technical services segment [6] - The company's capital expenditure remains high, with China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) planning capital expenditures of 125 to 135 billion yuan for 2025, providing a solid order guarantee for the company [6] - The profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been raised to 3.98 billion yuan and 4.7 billion yuan respectively, maintaining the 2027 profit forecast at 5.36 billion yuan, corresponding to price-to-earnings ratios of 17X, 15X, and 13X [6] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue for 2025 is estimated at 51.233 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 6.1% [5] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 is projected to be 3.98 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth rate of 26.9% [5] - The earnings per share for 2025 is expected to be 0.83 yuan [5] - The gross profit margin for 2025 is estimated at 17.2% [5] - The return on equity (ROE) for 2025 is projected to be 8.5% [5]
中海油服(601808):天气因素导致24年业绩增速放缓,自主技术市场化进程顺利
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-03-26 10:43
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2] Core Views - The company's performance in 2024 showed a revenue of 48.302 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.5%, and a net profit of 3.137 billion yuan, up 4.1% year-on-year. The fourth quarter results met expectations despite a decline in net profit [9] - The drilling platform utilization rate decreased due to weather impacts, but daily rates increased, indicating potential for future growth in drilling operations [9] - The oilfield technology services segment remains a stable revenue source, contributing 84% of total gross profit, with successful marketization of self-developed technologies [9] - The shipbuilding segment saw significant growth, with operating days increasing by 33.8% year-on-year, while the geophysical segment also experienced a rise in project volume [9] - Global offshore oil and gas capital expenditure growth is slowing, but the company’s core client, CNOOC, is expected to maintain high capital expenditure levels, providing strong support for the company's performance [9] - The earnings forecast for 2025-2026 has been adjusted downwards due to the slowing growth in global offshore oil and gas capital expenditure, with new profit estimates of 3.7 billion and 4.5 billion yuan respectively [9] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue is projected to grow from 44.109 billion yuan in 2023 to 63.140 billion yuan by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate of approximately 9.5% [8] - Net profit is expected to increase from 3.013 billion yuan in 2023 to 5.394 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of about 20.9% [8] - The company’s gross margin is projected to improve from 15.9% in 2023 to 17.6% in 2027, indicating enhanced operational efficiency [8]