海上风电市场增长

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中国大陆以外海风项目建设进展如何?
2025-08-11 01:21
Summary of Offshore Wind Projects and Market Insights Industry Overview - The offshore wind market outside mainland China is experiencing significant developments, with a total auction scale of approximately 30GW from January to July 2025, down from 58GW in 2024, primarily due to stagnation in the North American market, while Europe and the Asia-Pacific regions remain stable [1][5] - The expected new installed capacity for offshore wind projects outside mainland China in 2025 is projected to exceed last year's figures, with a notable increase in Europe and the Asia-Pacific regions, while North America remains stagnant [1][9] Key Insights - **Project Progress**: The offshore wind project progress outside mainland China has accelerated in 2025, with an expected new grid-connected capacity of about 5 to 6GW, significantly higher than the 3 to 4GW level in 2024. Europe is the main market, contributing approximately 5GW, while the Asia-Pacific region accounts for over 1GW [3][9] - **FID and Construction**: From January to July 2025, the FID (Final Investment Decision) volume reached 6.5GW, roughly in line with the 7GW from the previous year, with expectations to surpass last year's total. The majority of FID activity is concentrated in Europe (approximately 5.6GW) and the Asia-Pacific region (around 1GW) [6][9] - **New Construction**: The new construction scale outside mainland China reached 12GW from January to July 2025, an increase from less than 10GW in the previous year, indicating a significant uptick in market activity, particularly in Poland, Germany, the UK, South Korea, and Taiwan [7][9] Market Dynamics - **Regional Differences**: The development pace of offshore wind projects outside mainland China differs from domestic projects, with a similar overall process but distinct phases such as site auctions and leasing, followed by development preparations and equipment tenders [4] - **Future Projections**: The offshore wind market is expected to continue growing in the coming years, with new installed capacity potentially reaching 10GW or more by 2026, and further growth to 15GW or even 20GW annually thereafter [10] Domestic Companies' Performance - **International Expansion**: Domestic companies in the supply chain, such as cable and pile manufacturers, have achieved significant order volumes and deliveries in overseas markets, benefiting from net profit advantages due to exports [2][11] - **Wind Turbine Manufacturers**: Leading domestic wind turbine manufacturers are actively pursuing export opportunities, with notable orders in onshore wind and early investments in offshore wind projects in Europe, positioning them favorably in the international market [12][13] Investment Opportunities - **Focus Areas**: Investment recommendations emphasize the offshore wind sector, particularly in companies involved in piles and cables, as well as wind turbine manufacturers that have successfully secured overseas orders. The anticipated recovery in profit margins post-price stabilization presents additional investment opportunities [14]