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金天钛业(688750):25H1业绩符合预期,看好后续航空+海装+民航三大领域放量
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company [1]. Core Views - The company reported H1 2025 results that met expectations, with revenue of 320 million yuan, down 22.4% year-on-year, and a net profit of 40 million yuan, down 49.7% year-on-year. Q2 2025 revenue was 180 million yuan, down 10.9% year-on-year but up 38.5% quarter-on-quarter, indicating a sequential improvement in performance [4][7]. - The company is expected to benefit from growth in three key sectors: aviation, marine equipment, and civil aviation, with new product launches and market expansions driving future revenue [7]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Revenue projections for 2025E are set at 950 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 17.5%. The net profit forecast for 2025E is 170 million yuan, reflecting an 11.8% increase year-on-year [6]. - The company’s gross margin for H1 2025 was 34.32%, a decrease of 4.8 percentage points compared to H1 2024, primarily due to product mix adjustments. The net profit margin was 12.76%, down 6.94 percentage points year-on-year [7]. - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 170 million yuan in 2025, 237 million yuan in 2026, and 333 million yuan in 2027, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 64, 46, and 33 times [7].