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分众传媒(002027):业绩符合预期 期待后续碰一下&新潮并入
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-03 12:40
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a steady performance in Q2 2025 with revenue of 3.26 billion and net profit growth, indicating effective cost control and a positive outlook for future growth opportunities [1][2][4]. Financial Performance - Q2 2025 revenue reached 3.26 billion, a year-over-year increase of 0.5% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 14% [1]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.53 billion, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 5% and a quarter-over-quarter growth of 35% [1]. - Non-deductible net profit was 1.48 billion, showing a year-over-year increase of 18% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 49% [1]. Revenue Structure - In H1 2025, revenue from elevator media was 5.632 billion, a year-over-year increase of 2%, accounting for 92% of total revenue, while cinema revenue was 470 million, a year-over-year increase of 3%, accounting for 8% [3]. - The top three industries contributing to revenue were daily necessities (3.4 billion, YOY -11%, 56% share), internet (985 million, YOY +89%, 16% share), and automotive (410 million, YOY -14%, 7% share) [3]. Dividend Policy - In H1 2025, the total cash dividend amounted to 1.44 billion, corresponding to a dividend payout ratio of 54% based on net profit attributable to shareholders and 59% based on non-deductible net profit [4]. - The company's stable performance and high dividend payout provide a safety net, with potential growth opportunities from new integrations and market expansions [4]. Earnings Forecast - The company adjusted its revenue forecast for 2025-2027 to 13.3 billion, 16 billion, and 18.2 billion, representing year-over-year growth of 8%, 20%, and 14% respectively [4]. - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders is set at 5.7 billion, 7.1 billion, and 8 billion for the same period, with year-over-year growth of 11%, 24%, and 13% respectively [4]. - The target price for 2026 is set at 9.85, with a recommended rating based on historical valuation and comparable company analysis [4].