Core Viewpoint - The stock price of Huicheng Environmental Protection has surged over 80% in 2024, reaching around 176 yuan, despite a significant decline in its fundamental performance, including a 69.25% drop in net profit [1][3]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a net profit of 42.6 million yuan, down 69.25% year-on-year [1]. - For the first half of 2025, total revenue decreased by 5.09%, with net profit plummeting 85.63% to 502,040 yuan [1]. - The net profit margin fell from 6.57% to 0.97%, and operating cash flow turned negative, dropping nearly 413% year-on-year [1]. Business Challenges - The company faces multiple challenges in its main business, including a significant decline in gross margins for its petroleum coke hydrogen ash disposal services and waste catalyst disposal services [3]. - Period expenses have been increasing, rising as a proportion of total revenue each year [3]. - There is a notable concentration risk with downstream customers, particularly with a high dependency on sales to China National Petroleum Corporation [3]. Innovation and Future Prospects - Despite poor fundamentals, the company's stock price is buoyed by its claimed "world's first mixed waste plastic deep catalytic cracking (CPDCC)" technology, which is expected to be a future profit growth point [3]. - The first demonstration project for the CPDCC technology, capable of processing 200,000 tons per year, has successfully entered trial production [3]. Project Financing - Huicheng Environmental Protection recently disclosed a new round of fundraising, aiming to raise 850 million yuan, with approximately 250 million yuan allocated for working capital and the remainder for two project investments [5]. - Successful implementation of these projects is expected to help reduce the debt-to-asset ratio and enhance financial stability [5].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4][6]. Core Views - The company experienced a slight decline in revenue and a significant drop in net profit due to rising costs, with H1 2025 revenue at 560 million yuan (down 5.1% YoY) and net profit at 5.02 million yuan (down 85.6% YoY) [1]. - The resource utilization revenue decreased, while hazardous waste disposal revenue increased, with hazardous waste services generating 350 million yuan (up 5.8% YoY) [2]. - The gross margin improved to 25.5%, with resource utilization and hazardous waste services achieving gross margins of 24.4% and 27.1%, respectively [3]. - The successful trial production of the mixed waste plastic resource utilization project is expected to drive high growth for the company [3]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 1.77 billion yuan, 2.75 billion yuan, and 4.2 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 170 million yuan, 500 million yuan, and 880 million yuan [4]. - The company’s P/E ratios are projected to be 215.0x, 73.9x, and 42.0x for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [4][5]. - The company’s total assets are expected to grow from 6.5 billion yuan in 2025 to 12.7 billion yuan in 2027 [10].

Core Viewpoint - 惠城环保 reported a significant decline in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, attributed to lower steam prices and increased operational costs due to business expansion [1] Financial Performance - The company achieved revenue of 564 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 5.09% [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders was 5.02 million yuan, down 85.63% year-on-year [1] - The net cash flow from operating activities was -108 million yuan, and investment cash flow was -517 million yuan [1] - As of the end of June, short-term borrowings were 218 million yuan, long-term borrowings were 2.216 billion yuan, and interest expenses reached 34.69 million yuan, with a debt-to-asset ratio of 73.94% [1] Stock Performance - The company's stock price increased approximately 87% in the first half of 2025, with a maximum increase of 148% during this period [1] - The stock price reached a historical high of 251.65 yuan per share on July 11, 2025, but has since dropped about 24% to 181.16 yuan per share [3] Business Model and Technology - 惠城环保 specializes in industrial waste treatment and recycling, focusing on the disposal of waste catalysts and the production of resource-based catalysts [2] - The company developed a proprietary mixed waste plastic deep catalytic cracking (CPDCC) technology, which allows for the direct conversion of complex mixed plastics into high-value chemical raw materials with a product yield of over 92% [2] - The CPDCC technology could potentially replace approximately 100 million tons of crude oil annually if it processes 50 million tons of waste plastics, significantly reducing reliance on fossil fuels [2] Future Projects and Market Expansion - The first 200,000 tons/year mixed waste plastic resource utilization demonstration project is set to begin construction in March 2024 and aims for trial production by July 2025 [3] - 惠城环保 is also involved in the resource utilization of high-sulfur petroleum coke and aims to expand its customer base, particularly targeting state-owned enterprises [3] - The company plans to diversify its product offerings by expanding into molecular sieves and additives, as well as exploring overseas markets for catalysts and additives [3]