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【环球财经】清洁能源崛起 土耳其天然气市场面临结构性压缩
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-07-30 13:39
Core Insights - Turkey is emerging as a significant potential growth engine for natural gas and LNG exporters, but its rapid expansion in clean energy may disappoint those bullish on the natural gas market [1] Group 1: Energy Market Dynamics - Turkey's solar power generation increased by 47% year-on-year in the first half of this year, with solar power generation surpassing natural gas generation for the first time in June [1] - Wind and solar power combined reached a historical high of 30% in the electricity structure in June [1] - Turkey is deploying large-scale grid-level energy storage systems aimed at achieving 80 GWh of storage capacity by 2030 [1] Group 2: Implications for Natural Gas Market - The simultaneous growth of clean energy supply and storage capacity is reducing Turkey's dependence on natural gas and other fossil fuels, limiting growth potential in the natural gas market [1] - International suppliers, particularly natural gas exporters, may need to reassess their reliance on the Turkish market as it may no longer be a high-growth area [1] - Russian and Azerbaijani gas exporters could face renegotiation of gas supply agreements and potential market share decline [1] Group 3: Short-term vs Long-term Trends - Recent heatwaves in Turkey have led to a temporary rebound in natural gas generation, providing short-term hope for the industry [2] - However, this does not indicate a reversal of trends, as natural gas generation is shifting from being a "flexibility provider" to a "marginal stabilizer," suggesting a change in its role and valuation logic [2]