港口板块行情
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【原创】港口:市值涨少跌多 期待穿越周期
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-12 12:28
Core Viewpoint - The port sector is expected to experience a rally after crossing the cycle, driven by the strengthening of reform policies in the "14th Five-Year Plan" and the continuation of sector rotation and active themes in 2026 [1][11]. Industry Overview - The port industry is highly sensitive to macroeconomic cycles, exhibiting strong economic cyclicality, with high overall entry barriers. Future regional cooperation and collaborative development will be key themes for industry growth [2][12]. - In 2025, the port sector's operating revenue is projected to grow steadily, with slight fluctuations in profitability, indicating overall stable operations [2][12]. Port Production Performance - In the first 11 months of 2025, the national port cargo throughput reached 16.75 billion tons, a year-on-year increase of 4.4%. Coastal ports accounted for 10.65 billion tons (3.7% growth), while inland ports handled 6.1 billion tons (5.7% growth) [4][14]. - The national port container throughput for the same period was 32 million TEUs, up 6.6% year-on-year, with coastal ports handling 29 million TEUs (6.9% growth) and inland ports 3.884 million TEUs (4.9% growth) [4][14]. Market Capitalization Trends - The port sector index rose to 1420.75 points in 2025, a 7.09% increase year-on-year, although the overall performance was weaker than the market average [6][16]. - Shanghai Port Group had a market capitalization of 126.178 billion yuan, ranking third in the 2025 China Port and Shipping Company Market Capitalization Rankings, despite a year-on-year decline of 11.44% [6][16]. - Ningbo Port's market capitalization was 70.618 billion yuan, down 5.71%, while it is expected to achieve a cargo throughput of 1.216 billion tons, a 7.21% increase year-on-year [6][16]. Notable Company Performances - China Merchants Port had a market capitalization of 63.558 billion yuan in 2025, up 9.39%, maintaining its position in the top ten [8][18]. - COSCO Shipping Ports reported a market capitalization of 20.029 billion yuan, a 25.01% increase, with a total throughput of 11.3 million TEUs, up 5.6% [8][18]. - Qingdao Port achieved a cargo throughput of 546 million tons, a 2.41% increase, and a container throughput of 25.84 million TEUs, a 7.11% increase, despite a market capitalization decline of 6.75% [10][20].