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港股新消费估值切换
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重视港股新消费估值切换,稳健布局传统龙头
Xinda Securities· 2025-10-19 01:51
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the light industry manufacturing sector is "Positive" [2] Core Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of valuation shifts in Hong Kong's new consumption sector while advocating for a stable investment in traditional leading companies [2] - The paper discusses various segments within the light industry, including paper manufacturing, exports, new tobacco products, smart glasses, gold and jewelry, two-wheeled vehicles, cross-border e-commerce, pet products, IP retail, and maternal and child products, highlighting growth opportunities and market dynamics [2][3][4][5] Summary by Relevant Sections Paper Manufacturing - UPM announced a two-week maintenance shutdown at its Fray Bentos pulp mill, which is expected to lead to a slight increase in pulp prices in Q4. The report anticipates a moderate recovery in cultural paper prices due to limited new capacity and upcoming publishing tenders [2][3] Exports - The report notes that Yi Yi plans to increase its stake in the "Gao Ye Jia" brand, which is expected to contribute significantly to profits by 2026. Additionally, a recent anti-dumping investigation in Canada may benefit compliant leading companies [2][3] New Tobacco Products - Smoore International reported Q3 revenue of 4.196 billion yuan, reflecting a 27.5% quarter-on-quarter increase. The company is expanding its presence in Europe with its HILO brand [2][3] Smart Glasses - Yingmu launched its first multi-SKU smart glasses, addressing user pain points with innovative designs and improved comfort [3] Gold and Jewelry - Lao Pu Gold and Chow Tai Fook are actively engaging in promotional activities, with Lao Pu announcing a price adjustment on October 26. The report expects a boost in sales due to seasonal demand and rising gold prices [3][4] Two-Wheeled Vehicles - Dahon's sales channels are performing well, with significant growth in both offline and online sales. The company is expanding its product range and enhancing its supply chain [3][4] Cross-Border E-Commerce - Karote is adjusting its strategy to mitigate the impact of US-China tariffs, focusing on product diversification and market expansion in the US and Japan [3][4] Pet Products - Zhongchong reported a 15.9% year-on-year increase in revenue for Q3, driven by strong performance in its self-owned brands and overseas business [4] IP Retail - Pop Mart is deepening its long-term IP strategy, while Miniso is accelerating its fashion crossover initiatives to enhance brand value [4][5] Maternal and Child Products - The report highlights the growth of the toy segment within maternal and child retail, driven by innovative store models and IP collaborations [5]