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华电国际(600027):火电量价承压导致营收下滑 成本改善助推业绩正增长
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-04 06:29
Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 95.872 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 9.72%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 6.437 billion yuan, an increase of 15.87% [1] - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 35.920 billion yuan, down 10.92% year-on-year, with a net profit of 2.533 billion yuan, up 20.32% [1] Revenue and Profit Analysis - The company's electricity generation volume for the first three quarters of 2025 was 189.243 billion kWh, a decrease of 5.94% compared to the adjusted figures from the previous year, with Q3 generation at 75.954 billion kWh, down 5.15% year-on-year [1][2] - The average on-grid electricity price for the first three quarters of 2025 was 509.55 yuan/MWh, a decline of approximately 2.76% compared to the adjusted figures from the previous year [2] Cost and Profitability - In Q3 2025, the company's operating costs decreased by 15.68% year-on-year, significantly outpacing the revenue decline, primarily due to improved fuel costs [2] - The company's gross margin and net margin for Q3 2025 were 14.46% and 9.29%, respectively, reflecting increases of 4.57 and 2.14 percentage points year-on-year, indicating improved profitability [2] Investment and Growth Potential - The company reported a net investment income of 0.597 billion yuan in Q3 2025, a decrease of 54.01% quarter-on-quarter and 30.09% year-on-year, attributed to seasonal fluctuations affecting its investment in Huadian New Energy [3] - As of June 30, 2025, the company had approved and under-construction capacity totaling 11.9666 million kW, which is expected to contribute to long-term growth once operational [3] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company is projected to achieve net profits attributable to shareholders of 7.020 billion yuan, 7.642 billion yuan, and 8.165 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 23.10%, 8.86%, and 6.84% [3] - The stock price as of November 3, 2025, corresponds to price-to-earnings ratios of 9.02, 8.28, and 7.75 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 [3]