煤电核准高位

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发电设备行业数据点评:煤电水电核准维持高位,关注哈电东电投资机会
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2025-07-17 12:25
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the power equipment industry is "Positive" (maintained) [4] Core Viewpoints - The thermal power installed capacity has seen a significant year-on-year increase, with a delivery peak expected this year. In the first five months of this year, China added 17.55 million kilowatts of thermal power capacity, a substantial increase of approximately 45% compared to the same period last year [4] - The approval of coal power projects is expected to maintain a high level, with projections indicating that the approved capacity for coal power will exceed 80 GW for the year [4] - The growth in load demand is anticipated to outpace electricity consumption growth, driven by the increasing electricity demand from the tertiary sector and urban residents [4] - The need for traditional power sources like coal and nuclear power will persist due to the instability of renewable energy sources [4] - The demand for coal power replacement and upgrades is expected to continue expanding, with the implementation of the "New Generation Coal Power Upgrade Special Action Implementation Plan (2025-2027)" [4] - Pumped storage approvals are increasing, with the cumulative installed capacity expected to exceed 62 GW by 2025 and 120 GW by 2030 [4] - The total orders for pumped storage turbines are projected to reach approximately 150 billion yuan, with companies like Harbin Electric and Dongfang Electric expected to maintain high growth rates in their water power orders [4] Summary by Sections Section: Industry Performance - The coal power approval volume remains high, with significant increases in installed capacity expected in the coming years [4] Section: Investment Analysis - The sustained high approval volume for coal power and the increasing peak load demand indicate a long-term underestimated demand for coal power [4] - Companies such as Harbin Electric, Dongfang Electric (A+H), and Shanghai Electric are recommended for investment opportunities [4]