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大行评级丨瑞银:对港铁公司长期前景保持审慎 评级“沽售”
Ge Long Hui· 2025-11-07 05:37
Core Viewpoint - UBS reports that MTR Corporation's Tuen Mun District 16 Station Phase 1 property development contract has been awarded to Sun Hung Kai Properties, with a total floor area of 601,000 square feet, expected to provide approximately 1,280 residential units [1] Summary by Category Project Details - The total investment for the project is HKD 6 billion, translating to a land price of approximately HKD 9,983 per square foot [1] - If the average selling price reaches the current level of similar projects in the area, specifically at HKD 12,750 per square foot, the overall development gross margin is estimated to be around 22% [1] Financial Implications - After profit sharing with MTR, Sun Hung Kai's actual development profit margin is approximately 15% [1] - UBS anticipates a positive market reaction to MTR's tender results, but maintains a cautious outlook on the company's long-term prospects due to significant capital expenditure requirements from new railway projects and rising interest expenses [1] Target Price and Rating - UBS sets a target price of HKD 24 for MTR Corporation and assigns a "Sell" rating [1]