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同庆楼(605108):新店爬坡致业绩阶段性承压,现金流增长强化长期业绩预期
Dongguan Securities· 2025-09-01 12:15
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" investment rating for the company [1][4]. Core Insights - The company experienced a slight revenue growth of 4.67% year-on-year, achieving operating income of 1.331 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, driven by increased demand in the wedding market [4]. - Despite a decrease in net profit by 11.06% to 71.9986 million yuan, the company’s cash flow improved significantly, with a net cash inflow from operating activities rising by 59.39% to 327 million yuan [4]. - The company opened several new locations, which led to increased expenses during the ramp-up phase, impacting short-term profits but positioning the company for long-term growth [4]. - The report forecasts earnings per share of 0.75 yuan and 0.94 yuan for 2025 and 2026, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 28.03 and 22.51 [5]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company reported total revenue of 1.331 billion yuan, a 4.67% increase year-on-year, while net profit decreased to 71.9986 million yuan, down 11.06% [4]. - The company’s cash flow from operating activities showed a strong increase, with a net inflow of 327 million yuan, reflecting a 59.39% year-on-year growth [4]. Expansion Strategy - The company maintained a steady pace of new store openings, including three new 富茂 hotels and two 同庆楼 locations, contributing to future growth despite initial cost pressures [4]. - The increase in depreciation and amortization expenses by 43.2113 million yuan compared to the previous year was attributed to the new store openings [4]. Future Outlook - The report anticipates that the company will benefit from continued demand in the wedding market and the gradual ramp-up of new hotel operations, leading to stable overall performance in 2025 [4]. - The long-term growth potential is supported by the company’s strong cash flow and ongoing expansion efforts [4].